Jaguars vs. Lions Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 13 (Jacksonville's Defense Will Prove Superior)

Jacksonville Jaguars defensive end Roy Robertson-Harris (95) reacts to a defensive stop during the
Jacksonville Jaguars defensive end Roy Robertson-Harris (95) reacts to a defensive stop during the / Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union / USA

The Jacksonville Jaguars had their performance of the season in Week 12 when they upset the Baltimore Ravens on a last minute two-point conversion, beating them by a final score of 28-27.

Now, they head up North to Detroit to take on the Lions. It may sound crazy, but the winner of this game has a shot at making a run at the playoffs. At 5-7, the Lions would be within reach for the wild card teams in the NFC and the Jaguars could take a run at surpassing the Titans atop the AFC South.

Let's take a look at the odds for this game that happen to be a pivotal one.

Jaguars vs. Lions Odds, Spread, and Total

Jaguars vs. Lions Betting Trends

  • Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in the Jaguars' last five games
  • Jaguars are 1-19 straight up in their last 20 road games
  • Jaguars are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games against NFC opponents
  • Lions are 4-1 ATS in their alst five games
  • The OVER is 9-4 in the Lions' last 13 games
  • Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games

Jaguars vs. Lions Prediction and Pick

The two offenses involved in this game are similar in a lot of areas. The Lions rank slightly above the Jaguars in yards per play, but Jacksonville's offense has been better over a recent stretch. The Jaguars have averaged 5.5 yards per snap over their last three games while the Lions are averaging 5.2.

Regardless, the difference in this game is each team's defense, which is where we should focus when handicapping this game. The Jaguars defense is superior, ranking 21st in opponent yards per play, while the Lions rank dead last.

The Jaguars defense outranks the Lions defense in third down defense and red zone defense. Detroit ranks 32nd in third down defense and 28th in red zone defense. Those are two areas the Jacksonvilel offense should be able to exploit.

I'll take the Jaguars on the moneyline as slight underdogs.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.