Jets vs. Senators Prediction and Odds (Ottawa Presents Value as Home Underdog)
The Masters will be wrapping up on Sunday just in time for the most anticipated event of the day, the Winnipeg Jets against the Ottawa Senators!
Just kidding, but the game does give us something to bet on tonight.
The Senators playoff hopes have been dead for a while, and the Jets hopes are starting to dwindle. They can still make the postseason, but every game will be a must-win for the rest of the month.
A win tonight would be a step in the right direction. Can they pull it off? Let's take a look at the odds via WynnBET for tonight's interconference showdown.
Jets vs. Senators Odds and Total
Moneyline:
- Jets -185
- Senators +165
Puck line:
- Jets -1.5 (+130)
- Senators +1.5 (-160)
Total:
- 6 (Over -115/Under -105)
Jets vs. Senators Betting Trends
- The OVER is 4-1 in the Jets' last five games.
- Senators are 4-1 in their last five games vs. Jets.
- Jets are 2-5 in last seven games vs. Eastern Conference opponents.
- Senators are 4-11 in their last 16 home games.
- Senators are 1-4 in last five games vs. Western Conference opponents.
Jets vs. Senators Prediction and Pick
Don't let the "motivation" factor convince you to bet on the Jets as heavy road favorites tonight. On the contrary, I think the Senators are the best bet on the board tonight in terms of value.
Over their last 25 games, the Jets rank near the bottom in several advanced analytics. For example, they're 25th in CORSI%, 30th in expected goals against per 60 minutes, 30th in high danger scoring chances allowed, and 23rd in shooting percentage.
The Senators, over that same stretch, rank 14th, 17th, 10th, and 28th in those same statistics. So, shooting percentage aside, Ottawa has a significant advantage in several key areas but yet it's still a sizable underdog at home.
I don't care that this is a "must-win" for the Jets, the Senators are clearly the value play tonight.
Pick: Senators +160
You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.