Joe Burrow vs. Matthew Stafford: Who's a Better Bet for Super Bowl MVP?

Matthew Stafford and Joe Burrow are not only competing for the Super Bowl but also the game MVP award.
Matthew Stafford and Joe Burrow are not only competing for the Super Bowl but also the game MVP award. / Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Super Bowl is just 10 days away and we are firing on all cylinders right now covering it from all angles. One angle that I honed in on today was a head-to-head debate with Joe Burrow and Matthew Stafford at the center of it. I wanted to take a look at both players, and both teams, and predict who would be a better bet to win the Super Bowl MVP.

WynnBET Sportsbook has set odds to win the award, and Stafford is the +110 (bet $100 to profit $110) and Burrow is second on the odds list at +210 (bet $100 to profit $210).

Why bet Joe Burrow to win the MVP?

Joe Burrow is the natural underdog for this prop due to the fact that the Rams are four-point favorites right now for the Super Bowl. Since the other team is favored to win, Burrow would naturally cede the top spot to Stafford no matter their skill levels. If the Bengals manage to upset the Rams, I imagine that Burrow will be the key piece in that victory. However, the same can be said for Stafford. 

While Burrow wasn’t as prolific as a passer or scorer in the regular season, he did a good job to limit his mistakes. The Rams’ defense is a tough bunch and will present Burrow with all sorts of pressure.  Burrow has also struggled a bit in the postseason with two interceptions and two games where he failed to pass for more than 250 yards. 

Basically, a bet on Burrow is a bet on the Bengals to upset the Rams in the Super Bowl. I am still not ready to make that call yet. I do like the Bengals to cover but ATS wins don't earn MVP awards. 

Why bet Matthew Stafford to win the MVP?

Stafford is a safe bet for the same reason that Burrow is a risky one. The Rams are favored by more than a field goal to win the Super Bowl. Another reason so like Stafford here is the regular-season stats that rank him second in touchdowns and third in passing yards at 4,886. His QBR was 63.8 in what would be one of his best seasons in the NFL to date. 

One knock against Stafford is his interception rate during the regular season or one pick per game. But, in the playoffs, Stafford has been more careful and allowed just one interception in his last three games. While he doesn’t present the value that Burrow does, Stafford's odds are at +110 so he is worth a look in the MVP market. 

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE