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Kentucky vs. Louisville Prediction, Odds, Against Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 13

By Matt De Saro

In-state rivals Kentucky and Louisville clash this weekend in an important regular-season finale.
In-state rivals Kentucky and Louisville clash this weekend in an important regular-season finale. / Scott Utterback/Couurier Journal / USA
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The No. 25 Kentucky Wildcats head to Cardinal Stadium on Saturday to take on Louisville for the Governer’s Cup. 

Kentucky is coming off a tune-up game against New Mexico which ended in a 56-16 blowout. The star of the show, and the season, has been the defense for the Wildcats that is 20th in the nation and allowing just 335.5 yards per game. Their D has helped them to the 8-3 record and they have and a 5-3 mark in the SEC. 

Louisville is currently 6-5 and would love to end their season with a win over rival Kentucky. If they have a shot at winning, their QB Malik Cunningham is the key. Cunningham is the real deal and led the Cardinals to a 527 yard seven touchdown day against Duke.

Here are the odds for this rivalry game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Kentucky vs. Louisville Spread and Over/Under

Spread:

  • Kentucky +3.0 (-110) 
  • Louisville -3.0  (-110) 

Moneyline:

  • Kentucky +130
  • Louisville -150

Total:

  • 57.0 (Over -110/Under -110)

Kentucky vs. Louisville Betting Trends

  • The Wildcats are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games. 
  • The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Cardinals. 
  • The UNDER is 6-0 in the Wildcats’ last six games. 
  •  The Cardinals are 4-1 SU in their last five games. 
  • The Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the SEC. 

Kentucky vs. Louisville Prediction and Pick

I think that the oddsmakers are on the wrong side of this game having Kentucky as underdogs here. As a team, they average 231.9 yards passing and 191.9 yards rushing along with 31.6 PPG. Their defense is holding teams to under 225 yards total and 22.2 PPG.

The more I compare these two teams, the more similar they look. I think Kentucky has the edge on defense by a large margin and their offenses are right around equal. On paper, the Cardinals offense is a bit better but I don’t think it's good enough to win this game. 

I think that Kentucky provides great value here as underdogs on the road to march into Louisville and end their season with a victory. 

Pick: Kentucky Wildcats +130 to win

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