Kentucky vs Florida Prediction and Odds (Back Wildcats to Complete Season-Sweep)

The 24-6 #7 Kentucky Wildcats destroyed the 19-11 Gators by 21 last month at home. Now they'll try to do the same on the road against a Florida squad fighting for its NCAA Tournament livelihood.

Kentucky has won nine of 11, but are just 4-8-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 13. The Gators, knowing they've been on the bubble for a couple weeks now, have covered in three of four but had failed to cover in five straight prior to that.

Can the Wildcats get a win to scare Auburn for the SEC Conference title or will the Gators secure a postseason birth with a huge home victory?

Let's take a gander at the odds via WynnBET:

Kentucky vs Florida Odds, Spread and Total

Spread

• Kentucky -4.5 (-110)
• Florida +4.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

• Kentucky: -200
• Florida: +165

Total:

• 139.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Kentucky vs Florida Prediction and Pick

I haven't been a big believer in the Gators all season. They're one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the country, ranking 336th, and take on the literal best offensive rebounding team there is in the Wildcats. Oscar Tshiebwe may win the Naismith Player of the Year and is averaging 15.3 rebounds per game. He dominated Florida in the first game and unless Collin Castleton can get him into early foul trouble, I expect more of the same.

The Wildcats are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six as a road favorite, but Florida is just 1-3 ATS in their last four at home. With the NCAA Tournament right around the corner and Kentucky still with a chance at an SEC Conference crown, I expect a fully-focused performance.

Florida allows opponents to shoot almost 50% from the floor, good for 157th nationally, and I think they'll struggle to contain Kentucky's guard penetration, allowing easy paths to the lane or dump-off passes to Tshiebwe.

The Gators are a terrible three-point shooting team, too. They're 274th in the country in that category and without the threat of an outside shot, they'll need to score inside. Good luck with that against Kentucky's 64th-ranked interior defense.

I'm sticking with the Wildcats to complete the season-sweep. At the end of the year, there's no time for let-down games so despite the fact that Florida will be desperate for an NCAA Tournament bid, I don't think Kentucky will let them off the hook.

Pick: Kentucky -4.5 (-110)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.