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Kentucky vs. Ole Miss Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 5

By Reed Wallach

Sep 17, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart (2) scrambles
Sep 17, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart (2) scrambles / Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
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Ole Miss has been one of the most intriguing teams in the country this season, as they are relying on a host of transfers and dismantling opponents, but they haven't faced anybody worthy of praise just yet.

That changes on Saturday when Kentucky travels to Oxford, Mississippi to take on Lane Kiffin's group. The Wildcats passed their lone test of the season at Florida and come in with a 4-0 record. The team also welcomes back star running back Chris Rodriguez, who missed the first four games of the season due to a suspension.

Is there a valuable bet to make in the Rebels' SEC opener? Let's check out the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:

Kentucky vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread and Total

Kentucky vs. Ole Miss Betting Trends

  • Kentucky is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • Kentucky is 32-40-1 ATS in SEC play under Mark Stoops
  • Both teams are 1-3 to the OVER this season

Kentucky vs. Ole Miss Prediction and Pick

This number looks large on the surface, the Rebels opened around -1.5 and has been blown out to -6.5. It's an interesting set up as the Rebels defense has looked fantastic and the Kentucky offense is hoping to improve on that side of the ball with the return of Rodriguez.

Rodriguez can help the Wildcats rush offense that is averaging less than 2.5 yards per carry this season (bottom 10 in the nation), but the offensive line has been concerning and Rodriguez won't help there. The team is bottom 10 in sacks allowed and outside the top 30 in line yards.

Ole Miss defense has been far better than expected this season, even against lowly competition, allowing the 10th fewest yards per play and is top 25 in tackles for loss.

This is a lot of points to lay with the Rebels, but I do lean towards that side, I make them close to a 10-point favorite. Adjust for schedules and the return of Rodriguez and you get closer to -7, but I don't believe the Wildcats are actually worthy of being a top 10 in the AP Poll.

I think the Rebels make for a strong moneyline parlay piece on Saturday as the line does indicate a reasonable difference between the teams.

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