Kevin Durant or Kyrie Irving: Who Will Score More Points? UPDATE: Durant Injured, Kyrie Scores 20
UPDATE: Kevin Durant left the Nets game in the first quarter with a leg contusion and is out for the game. He played four minutes and had eight points before getting injured. Kyrie Irving finished with 20 points, so both went under their projected point total. What follows is the original report.
Let's have some fun. Are you backing a person who believes the earth is flat? Or are you siding with the quick trigger Twitter finger guy? Too complicated? Ok, cool. Let's make this easier.
The Nets play the Heat today and Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving both have the same projected point total at 25.5 on WynnBET. That is an over/under player prop bet where you choose who is going to score over or under 25.5 points. The question for this moment is who do you think will score 26 or more points, Durant or Irving?
It's actually a fun exercise. To start, WynnBET is giving Irving even odds to score 26 or more, meaning they believe it's around 50-50. Durant is getting -112 odds, which suggests Vegas believes he's more likely than Irving to score 26 or more.
The stats also suggest Durant is the answer. He scored 31 points in 27 minutes this past Tuesday and 25 in 30 on Friday. That was the first time he played 30 or more minutes since injuring his hamstring in February. In the four previous games where he played 30 or more minutes, he scored over 26 points three times. In his two games against the Heat this year, Durant has scored 31 and 20 points.
Irving, meanwhile, has only scored over 26 points twice in his last seven games despite playing his normal minutes in all of those games. In his two games against the Heat this year, Irving has scored 16 and 28 points.
The biggest concern with taking Durant is he's only averaging 12.3 FG attempts per game since his return. Kyrie, meanwhile, is averaging over 18 in April.
The Heat have lost three straight and are are giving up 116 points per game on average during that time. One last stat to consider: No individual player has scored more than 26 in any of those games.
So who are you backing, Irving or Durant?