Lightning vs Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds for Game 7 (Experienced Defending Champions Will be Victorious)

The Lightning and Maple Leafs will play in a winner-take-all Game 7 on Saturday night.
The Lightning and Maple Leafs will play in a winner-take-all Game 7 on Saturday night. / Mike Ehrmann/GettyImages
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Buckle-up Maple Leafs fans, we have another Game 7 to live through.

The Lightning won in overtime in Game 6 on their home ice to even the series at 3-3, so now the two teams will head back to Toronto for a winner-take-all showdown. The Maple Leafs have been snake-bitten in the playoffs for the past two decades, going 0-9 in their last nine series-clinching games.

Can they break that streak on Saturday night, or will the back-to-back Stanley Cup Champions keep their three-peat alive?

Let's take a look at the odds via WynnBET Sportsbook for Saturday's Game 7 clash.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds and Total

Moneyline:

  • Lightning +105
  • Maple Leafs -125

Puck line:

  • Lightning +1.5 (-250)
  • Maple Leafs -1.5 (+200)

Total:

  • 6.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • The OVER is 5-0 in the last five games in this series.
  • Lightning are 2-6 in their last eight games as underdogs.
  • Maple Leafs are 7-1 in their last eight home games.
  • Maple Leafs are 12-6 in their last 18 games.\

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Pick

I'm sorry fellow Leafs fans, but the Lightning are the bet to make in this situation.

The Maple Leafs are 0-9 in their last nine series clinching games, have a -18 goal differential in them, and have only killed penalties at a rate of 58.8%. Not only that, but they face Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevsky, who has five-straight shutouts in series clinching games.

The Lightning have also been playing better when it's five-on-five in this series. They're averaging 12.33 high danger scoring chances per 60 minutes of 5-on-5, compared to the Leafs, who have 10.98.

Backing the experienced back-to-back Stanley Cup champions is the smart bet to make in this one.

Pick: Lightning +105


You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.