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Lions vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 5 (Over is Undefeated in Detroit Games)

By Iain MacMillan

Detroit Lions tight end T.J. Hockenson scores a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks during the
Detroit Lions tight end T.J. Hockenson scores a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks during the / Kirthmon F. Dozier / USA TODAY NETWORK
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If you like points, than you love watching the Detroit Lions play.

They are the only team that has had the OVER hit in all four of their games so far this season. Now, they take on the New England Patriots, who are looking like a shell of their former selves this season at 1-3.

One of the two teams will get their second win of the season on Sunday, so which squad will come out victorious?

Let's take a look at the latest odds, and then I'll give you my best bet.

Lions vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, and Total

Lions vs. Patriots Betting Trends

  • The OVER is 6-0 in the Lions' last six games.
  • Patriots are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against the Lions.
  • Lions are 0-5 straight up in last five road games.
  • Patriots are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games.
  • The OVER is 7-0 in the Patriots last seven home games.
  • Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Week 5 games.

Lions vs. Patriots Prediction and Pick

The OVER has hit in six-straight games for the Lions, dating back to last season, and I'm in no rush to jump off that trend.

They lead the NFL in yards per play through the first four weeks, averaging 6.5 yards per snap. Meanwhile, they're allowing 6.5 yards per play, which is 31st in the NFL. That right there, is an OVER bettors dream. A fantastic offense, and a terrible offense.

Then there's the Patriots, who are surprisingly better on offense than defense as well. They're 11th in yards per play, averaging 5.7, but 18th in opponent yards per play.

Also, both teams should be able to run the ball extremely successfully. The Lions are averaging 5.9 yards per carry, which is the best mark in the NFL. The Patriots defense is allowing 5.1 yards per rush, which is the fourth worst mark in the NFL.

The same thing is true for the flip side of things. 37.66% of the Patriots yards gained on offense come from running the football, which is the 9th highest mark in the league. Now they get to face the Lions defense that ranks dead last in opponent yards per carry, allowing 5.6 yards per rush.

Give me points! I'll back the OVER and hope for the best.

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