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LSU vs. Arkansas Prediction and Odds for College Football Week 11 (Fade Tigers After Alabama Upset)

By Reed Wallach

Nov 5, 2022; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Arkansas Razorbacks tight end Trey Knox (7) celebrates
Nov 5, 2022; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Arkansas Razorbacks tight end Trey Knox (7) celebrates / Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
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LSU scored the upset of the season last week in Death Valley, beating Alabama in a thriller that went to overtime, knocking the Crimson Tide from the College Football Playoff discussion.

Now, LSU controls the SEC West and a possible shot at a CFP bid. Will it keep it rolling against Arkansas on the road? The Razorbacks lost as 17-point favorites to Liberty last week at home, is this season spiraling out of control for the Hogs, or can Sam Pittman get his team ready for this one as a small home underdog?

Let's see the odds and find out:

LSU vs. Alabama Odds, Spread and Total

LSU vs. Arkansas Betting Trends

  • Arkansas is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog
  • LSU is 6-3 ATS this season
  • Arkansas has gone OVER in seven of nine games this season
  • LSU has gone UNDER in three of four games as a favorite
  • Arkansas has gone OVER in three of four games as an underdog

LSU vs. Arkansas Prediction and Pick

While many will want to jump on the LSU bandwagon following a thrilling win against Alabama in overtime, those bettors are a week too late. This is an LSU team that closed as 13.5-point underdogs in that game, one-point favorites against Ole Miss and 2.5-point dogs to Florida on the road.

The team may have won those three games but this is far too much of an upgrade for the Bayou Bengals, who are still outside the top 100 in EPA/Rush this season and will be facing one of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the country in KJ Jefferson.

The Razorbacks run the ball at a top 10 rate in the country and can keep this game close with their ground attack. This is a poor matchup for LSU, who won its game of the year last season at home. Now, the Tigers go on the road for a noon start against an Arkansas team that just lost to Liberty as big favorites?

There are cheap threes in the market on the Hogs, and I think they are live to hand LSU a reality check on Saturday.

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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