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LSU vs. Arkansas Prediction, Odds and Key Players for Wednesday, March 6 (Back Road Underdogs)

By Reed Wallach

Mar 2, 2024; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; LSU Tigers forward Will Baker (9) celebrates after a basket
Mar 2, 2024; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; LSU Tigers forward Will Baker (9) celebrates after a basket / Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
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LSU and Arkansas fight for SEC Tournament positioning on Wednesday evening on the road.

The Tigers blew out the underwhelming Razorbacks at home last month, winning 95-74 in Baton Rouge, can the resurgent Bayou Bengals complete a season sweep on the road?

Here's our full betting preview for LSU vs. Arkansas on Wednesday.

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LSU vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread and Total

Arkansas vs. LSU Betting Trends

  • Arkansas is 10-19 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • Arkansas is 4-10 ATS as a favorite this season
  • Arkansas has gone OVER in eight of the last 10 games

LSU vs. Arkansas How to Watch

  • Date: Wednesday, March 6th
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM EST
  • Venue: Bud Walton Arena
  • How to Watch (TV): SEC Network
  • LSU Record: 16-13
  • Arkansas Record: 14-15

LSU vs. Arkansas Key Players to Watch

LSU

Will Baker: Baker was a monster in the first meeting, scoring 25 points while hitting four threes in the blowout win. The big man is able canto play inside and out and bend defenses as a 37% three-point shooter in SEC play.

Arkansas

Tramon Mark: The Houston transfer has had some big efforts in a dismal year for Arkansas, including 23 at Kentucky over the weekend. The forward is draining 38% of his threes on the year and gets to the free-throw line at a high clip. Can he have another great showing at home against a poor LSU defense?

LSU vs. Arkansas Prediction and Pick

I can't trust Arkansas to win by margin against a capable offense.

The Razorbacks haven't beaten an SEC team that is inside the top 100 in effective field goal percentage all season. LSU ranks 84th in that metric.

LSU's a potent three-point shooting offense, hitting 37% of its threes in SEC play while also having a finisher around the rim in terms of Baker. The ability to stretch out a poor Arkansas defense that doesn't excel on that side of the floor, fouling at the third-highest rate in league games.

Arkansas' offense has been brutal all season, outside the top 200 in terms of effective field goal percentage and over-reliant on getting to the free throw line. However, LSU's defense has been compact and disciplined all season, allowing a three-point rate north of 41% (308th in the country).

If this game becomes a jump shot contest, give me LSU to hold up, even at Bud Walton Arena.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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