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LSU vs. Arkansas Prediction and Odds (Razorbacks will Continue to Roll at Home)

By Matt De Saro

The Arkansas Razorbacks look poised for a deep run into the NCAA Tournament.
The Arkansas Razorbacks look poised for a deep run into the NCAA Tournament. / Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
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A pivotal SEC battle is going down tonight at the Bud Walton Arena between the No. 14 Arkansas Razorbacks and LSU Tigers.

This game is a big one for the Razorbacks in particular who are currently fourth in the conference and have a slim chance to catch Auburn in first.

The conference is tight as they get one game separating the top four teams. LSU is out of contention at 8-8 and eighth in the conference, but the Tigers can still play spoiler for their SEC rivals and ruin their shot at a potential epic run to end the year.

Here are the odds for this SEC showdown, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

LSU vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

  • LSU +5.5 (-110)
  • Arkansas -5.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • LSU -160
  • Arkansas +125

Total: 154 (Over -110/Under -110)

LSU vs. Arkansas Prediction and Pick

LSU has one advantage over Arkansas in this game and that is its size and how it uses it. The Tigers are an extremely physical team and have used that to body smaller teams and win games as a result.

While this has worked on lesser teams this year, I do not see LSU bullying this Arkansas team into a loss. For starters, the Tigers foul more than almost any other team in the nation with almost 20 personal fouls per game.

To break that down, the Tigers foul once in every 23.7 percent of their possessions and rank them 313th. That is not to say that LSU doesn’t have its strong points. Their defense overall is very good and rank 19th in scoring and cause the third-most turnovers in the nation at a rate of one every 22 percent of possessions. 

And while all of that is quite impressive, the Tigers are still an 8-8 team going up against a potential Elite Eight team in the Razorbacks. After a slow start, the Razorbacks have won 13 of their last 14 games heading into tonight.

They are red-hot at the right time and have recently beaten Auburn, Tennessee and Kentucky. Another semi-recent victim of this surging team was this very same LSU squad. Arkansas won by seven on the road when LSU was ranked No. 12. The Razorbacks are 23-6 and an impressive 16-1 on their home court. This team is also well-rested and totally healthy. 

Pick: Arkansas (-5.5) -110

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

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