LSU vs. Florida Prediction and Odds: Expect a Low-Scoring Affair

The LSU Tigers continue to tear through the SEC. After suffering their first loss of the season, 70-55 to Auburn, they took down two ranked SEC teams in Kentucky and Tennessee. Now, they get to face their first unranked team in three games when they face the Florida Gators.

Florida is still seeking its first conference win of the season, having fallen to Alabama and Auburn in its first two SEC matchups.

Let's take a look at the odds via WynnBET for tonight's SEC showdown.

LSU vs. Florida Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

• LSU +2.5 (-110)
• Florida -2.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

• LSU +115
• Florida -135

Total:

• 138 (Over -110/Under -110)

LSU vs. Florida Betting Trends

• LSU is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games.
• The UNDER is 11-2 in LSU's last 13 games.
• LSU is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. SEC opponents.
• Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. LSU.
• Florida is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games this season.

LSU vs. Florida Prediction and Pick

The UNDER is 12-3 in LSU games this season, and I'm going to ride that trend tonight against Florida. I lost this bet in LSU's last game against Tennessee, but I'm going back to the well and I think it's the right bet to make tonight.

LSU is 83rd in offensive efficiency and Florida is 105th. Meanwhile, these two teams are two of the best defensive teams in the country. The Tigers rank first in the entire country in defensive efficiency, while Florida ranks 25th.

It's a small sample size of only two games, but LSU's shooting numbers on the road also support a low scoring game. They're shooting 48.6% from the floor at home, but 37.3% on the road. That's among the worst road shooting percentage in all of college basketball.

I'll take another shot on an UNDER in an LSU game.

Pick: UNDER 138

Iain's CBB betting record this season: 32-27-1 (+3.01 units)