LSU vs. Kansas State Updated Prediction and Odds for Texas Bowl
By Reed Wallach
The last non-College Football Playoff bowl game goes down on Tuesday night when Kansas State and LSU in the Texas Bowl.
This is becoming one of the most fascinating bowl games from a motivation angle, given the dearth of prospects on the LSU roster heading to NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.
The Tigers, who opened as small favorites are now considerable underdogs. Is there any betting value? Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.
LSU vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread and Total
Spread:
- LSU: +7 (-110)
- Kansas State: +7 (-110)
Moneyline:
- LSU: +225
- Kansas State: -280
Total: 47.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Kansas State vs. LSU Betting Trends
- Kansas State is 5-2 ATS as a favorite this season
- LSU is 4-2 ATS as an underdog this season
- Both teams are 5-7 to the UNDER this season
- Kansas State has gone OVER in 1 game as a favorite this season
LSU vs. Kansas State Prediction and Pick
Let's start with the massive news for the Tigers heading into the Texas Bowl, who will likely be starting either a walk on or a wide receiver at quarterback.
The Texas Bowl is almost here. In this piece we preview:
— Brody Miller (@BrodyAMiller) January 3, 2022
-The #LSU QB situation with Nussmeier not expected to play
-The depleted secondary and what it means
-Which young players will have chances to make a name (Kiner, Penn)
-The game itself https://t.co/7RpnfJOyXt
This line has jumped on a rocket ship and is going towards Kansas State, going from 2.5-point underdogs at open to touchdown favorites. It's tough to even put a number on LSU given that the team has essentially no quarterback and one cornerback with any sort of playing time.
On top of that Kansas State, may be at their best this season, with Skylar Thompson set to play in the Texas Bowl after missing the team's season finale. The team went 6-3 in games Thompson played in with their three losses coming to elite competition in Big 12 play: Baylor, Iowa State, Oklahoma.
Overall, K-State is inside the top 30 in both line yards and success rate, so there offense should have no issue taking advantage of a limited defense. On defense, the team is 37th in defensive line yards and is 55th in defensive success rate after playing a difficult Big 12 schedule.
This is a simple handicap between a full roster and a decimated one without a head coach either -- LSU named offensive line coach Brian Davis to the interim position for the bowl game. Kansas State is in line to roll in this one, but I would look for a juicier payout than the -7 given the market movement already. When the alternate spread market opens up, anything under -13.5 looks to have a nice payout worth betting.
I made Kansas State 2-point favorites before all the opt out news came out. I'm not sure there is a floor for this LSU team so I'd bank on some bigger payouts.
PICK: Kansas State in alternate markets up to -13.5