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Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets Prediction and Odds (Fade the Over Trend)

By Iain MacMillan

The Maple Leafs and Blue Jackets will face-off in Monday night NHL action.
The Maple Leafs and Blue Jackets will face-off in Monday night NHL action. / Russell LaBounty-USA TODAY Sports
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The Toronto Maple Leafs are in the middle of a free fall, and are desperate to get back on track tonight when they head to Columbus to take on the Blue Jackets.

The Leafs' goaltending has continually let them since the start of the 2022 calendar year. They rank 28th in team save percentage over their last 25 games, stopping just 88.35% of shot attempts. That's not a good sign for a team with Stanley Cup aspirations.

Tonight could be a good chance to get back on track, as the Blue Jackets are on the outside of the playoffs looking in, and have lost two-straight heading into today's game.

Let's take a look at the odds via WynnBET for tonight's Eastern Conference matchup.

Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets Odds and Total

Moneyline:

  • Maple Leafs -215
  • Blue Jackets +185

Puck line:

  • Maple Leafs -1.5 (+110)
  • Blue Jackets +1.5 (-130)

Total:

  • 6.5 (Over -140/Under +120)

Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets Betting Trends

  • The OVER is 12-5 in the Maple Leafs' last 17 games.
  • Maple Leafs are 6-1 in their last seven games vs. Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The OVER is 12-4 in the Blue Jackets' last 16 games.
  • Blue Jackets are 5-1 in their last six games vs. Atlantic Division opponents.

Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets Prediction and Pick

The OVER has been trending in a big way for both teams, and as a result, the total for this game is set at 6.5 with the OVER juiced all the way to -140 (bet $140 to profit $100).

As crazy as it may seem, tonight might be the time to fade the OVER trend and take the UNDER 6.5 at plus-money. Sure, the Maple Leafs' goaltenders have struggled in a big way as of late, but the Blue Jackets are one of the worst offensive teams in the NHL. They rank 25th in expected goals per 60 minutes and dead last in high danger scoring chances over their last 25 games.

The Leafs, surprisingly, have been playing good defensively in recent weeks as well, despite not getting any help between the pipes. They rank fifth in high danger scoring chances against over their last 25 games.

Pick: UNDER 6.5 (+120)

Iain is 46-38-2 (+5.66 units) with his NHL picks in 2022. Check out his detailed record here.

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