Maple Leafs vs. Coyotes Prediction and Odds: Auston Matthews to Shine in Homecoming Game

It's Auston Matthews' homecoming night as the Toronto Maple Leafs head to his home stat of Arizona to take on the Coyotes in Wednesday night NHL action.

He and the Maple Leafs avoided a second-straight third period collapse last night, sneaking past the Golden Knights 4-3 in a shootout. Tonight's game should be a walk in the park for Canada's favorite tam, as they face a Coyotes squad that sits in dead last in the NHL with a 7-23-3 record.

Let's take a look at the odds for tonight's game, courtesy of WynnBET.

Maple Leafs vs. Coyotes Odds and Total

Moneyline:

• Maple Leafs -300
• Coyotes +250

Puck line:

• Maple Leafs -1.5 (-120)
• Coyotes +1.5 (+100)

Total:

• 6 (Over -115/Under -105)

Maple Leafs vs. Coyotes Betting Trends

• The OVER is 9-3 in the Maple Leafs' last 12 games.
• Maple Leafs are 5-1 in their last six games.
• Coyotes are 14-6 in their last 20 games vs. Maple Leafs.
• Coyotes are 2-9 in their last 11 games.
• The UNDER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these teams.

Maple Leafs vs. Coyotes Prediction and Pick

Not only is the Coyotes record bad, but their statistics are bad too. It's no fluke that they have the worst record in the NHL. They rank 31st in CORSI% 30th in offensive high danger scoring chances, and 23rd in opponent high danger scoring chances. They also rank 28th in shooting percentage and 31st in team save percentage.

There's not much else to say other than the Maple Leafs are one of the best teams in the NHL, and the Coyotes are the worst. Petr Mrazek is getting the start inbetween the pipes for the Maple Leafs, which is the only reason why the odds are a bit closer than they'd normally be.

I'm going to feel comfortable backing the Maple Leafs on the puck line at -120.

Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5 (-120)

Iain's NHL betting record this season: 43-41 (+2.04 units)