Marist vs. Fairfield Prediction and Odds: Bet the Home Favorite

Mar 29, 2019; Albany , NY, USA; General view of a NCAA logo prior to an Albany regional semifinal
Mar 29, 2019; Albany , NY, USA; General view of a NCAA logo prior to an Albany regional semifinal / Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
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Fairfield will be playing their first game since before Christmas on Friday as they welcome conference foe Marist to Bridgeport.

Will there be some rust for the Stags, or can they exploit some matchup advantages to cover the short spread?

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Marist vs. Fairfield Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Marist: +3 (-110)
  • Fairfield: -3 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Fairfield: +135
  • Marist: -160

Total: 133.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Marist vs. Fairfield Prediction and Pick

There is rightful concern about Fairfield coming off a layoff, but I believe they are a valuable bet given their ability to shut off the perimeter and clean the glass.

Fairfield is allowing the 15th lowest three-point rate this season while ranking top 100 in defensive rebounding rate.

Marist is a solid three-point shooting team, about 34% as a team but are also poor at the free throw line, 66% overall. If this becomes an interior-centric game, give me Fairfield who is hitting on about 54% of their two-point tries and generating 55% of their points from inside.

This spread has dropped from -4 to -3, but I see value on the home team that can also create second chance opportunities, over 30% in offensive rebounding rate this season which is 109th in the nation, to cover the spread.

PICK: Fairfield -3