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Marlins vs. Dodgers Prediction and Odds for Saturday, August 20 (Take Advantage of Miami's Massive Odds in L.A.)

By Ben Heisler

Miami Marlins starting pitcher Braxton Garrett is somehow a +260 road underdog vs. the L.A. Dodgers despite a very productive season.
Miami Marlins starting pitcher Braxton Garrett is somehow a +260 road underdog vs. the L.A. Dodgers despite a very productive season. / David Dermer-USA TODAY Sports
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Perhaps the most shocking odds of Saturday's MLB slate comes out of Los Angeles, as the Dodgers are more than -300 favorites against the visiting Miami Marlins.

L.A. has won seven consecutive games at home, and have gone 41-15 at Chavez Revine this season; including a 2-1 final from Friday night in a rare run line loss for the Dodgers. At home, the Dodgers have won 35 of their 41 games on the run line, and 73 of their 82 victories have been via run line as well.

The Marlins continue to struggle offensively, as their 441 runs scored are the fewest by a wide margin in the National League this year. Can they get another cover with one of their better starters on the mound?

Here are the odds for today's matchup over at FanDuel Sportsbook:

Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Marlins +1.5 (+114)
  • Dodgers -1.5 (-137)

Moneyline:

  • Marlins +260
  • Dodgers -320

Total:

  • 7.5 (OVER -102 | UNDER -120)

Marlins vs. Dodgers Prediction and Pick

The Dodgers deserve to be favorites; heavy favorites at that. But -320 against a very good pitcher while their starter makes his first appearance since Tommy John surgery ? That's outlandish.

Dustin May gets the ball for L.A. for the first time since May 1 of 2021 where he left the game with an elbow injury. He made five starts in Triple-A, striking out 33 batters in 19 innings with a 1.89 ERA.

Meanwhile, Braxton Garrett gets the ball for the Fish, and has turned in a very good season in 2022. The 25-year old southpaw has a 3.67 ERA on the season with a 3.47 Fielding Independent Pitching, or FIP this year. He's also coming off six innings of shutout baseball against a very good Atlanta Braves team last Sunday.

To me, there's a level of expectation I can have for Garrett, compared to what might be the case for May. There's no doubt the Dodgers' right-hander has the stuff to be excellent, but so much is up in the air for me to lay down 1/3 odds or more that he's that guy in his first MLB start in 16 months.

LEAN: Marlins ML +260

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