Marlins vs. Mets Prediction and Pick for Sunday, June 19 (Grab Miami As Underdogs With Alcantara on the Mound)
By Matt De Saro
The New York Mets have cooled off a bit since the start of June and have seen their lead over the Braves in the NL east shrink to 5.5 games. The Braves just went on a 14-game win streak and the Mets need to get back into high gear or risk being overtaken. Normally, I would say this game against the Marlins would be an easy win. But, there is a pitching mismatch in favor of the underdog Marlins that complicates things.
Here are the odds for this game from consensus sportsbooks.
Marlins vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, and Total
Run Line:
- Marlins: +1.5 (-200)
- Mets: -1.5 (+165)
Moneyline:
- Marlins: +118
- Mets: -128
Total:
- 7 (Over +100/Under -120)
Marlins vs. Mets Prediction and Pick
While these two teams are worlds apart in terms of talent and records, Sandy Alcantara gives the Marlins a chance to beat any team. He enters this NL East showdown with a 6-2 record, a 1.68 ERA, and a 0.96 WHIP. He ranks in the top 15 in wins, ERA, strikeouts, and WHIP all while playing for a below-average Marlins team. As if all that wasn’t enough to convince you, Alcantara is only getting better. His ERA in three June starts is 0.76 and he’s not given up a home run since May 16. Alcantara is a Cy Young contender and if anyone can lead the Marlins to an upset win it's him.
Chris Bassitt will try to keep that from happening as he looks to build off an eight-inning shutout of the Brewers on Tuesday. It was a nice, welcomed change after Bassitt gave up 10 runs in his previous 9 ⅓ innings against the Padres and Dodgers. The Mets arguably have the best offense in the league, but Bassitt clearly struggles against strong lineups.
I think the Marlins are a great play at plus money odds with Alcantara handling business on the mound.
Pick: Marlins +118 ML
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