Marlins vs. Mets Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, September 27 (New York Continues NL East Quest)
By Reed Wallach
The New York Mets remain slightly ahead of the Atlanta Braves in what has become one of the great MLB division races in recent memory.
New York plays host to the Miami Marlins in hopes of cementing their NL East hopes ahead of a weekend series against the Braves. It starts on Tuesday with the Mets as big favorites against the Marlins with Carlos Carrasco on the mound.
Here are the odds and our best bet for this one:
Marlins vs. Mets Odds, Run Line and Total
Marlins vs. Mets Prediction and Pick
It's been an up and down season for Carrasco, but he is far better at home than on the road. The veteran pitches to a 3.21 ERA at Citi Field, down from 4.57 away from his home ballpark this season, and I fancy his chances of tearing through a Marlins lineup that is bottom five in nearly all hitting metrics this season.
Meanwhile, the Fish send out Pablo López, who has been a mess in the second half of the season, going from an ERA of 2.86 to 5.57 since the All-Star break. With the way the Mets lineup is hitting of late, third in wRC+ this month, they should have little issue keeping pace in the NL East.
Keep an eye on Pete Alonso, who continues to set the Mets all-time RBI record last weekend and took home National League co-Player of the Week with Albert Pujols.
Pete Alonso and Albert Pujols are the National League co-Players of the Week.
— Anthony DiComo (@AnthonyDiComo) September 26, 2022
Alonso hit .333/.407/.917 with four home runs and 13 RBI in six games, breaking the Mets' franchise RBI record. It's his second career POY honor and his first since his 2019 rookie season.
The Mets are peaking at the right time, and should have little issue taking care of the Marlins.