Betsided

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction and Odds for Thursday, April 28 (Miami Heating Up After Slow Start)

By Matt De Saro

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves / Todd Kirkland/GettyImages
facebooktwitterreddit

Things have just gone from bad to worse for the Washington Nationals. After starting off 6-7, the Nats have lost seven straight games. They are now in last place in the NL East at 6-14 with no end in sight.

Washington was swept by the San Francisco Giants over the weekend by a combined score of 24-6, and hope to avoid the sweep at the hands of the Miami Marlins later today. 

The Marlins started off with a similar record of 6-8, but are on a four-game winning streak. After Tuesday’s win, the Marlins are now back over .500.

Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line

  • Marlins: -1.5 (+100)
  • Nationals: +1.5 (-120)

Moneyline:

  • Marlins -146
  • Nationals +136

Total:

  • 8 (Over -115/Under -105)

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction and Pick

The Marlins may be just 9-8, but the metrics suggest they are a far superior team to the Nationals. Washington hasn’t set a high bar but still, the Marlins are better than their record suggests. For starters, they have played the Giants, Angels, Phillies, Cardinals, and Braves this season. Not a bad team in that bunch. Meanwhile, the Nationals lost three of four to the Pittsburgh Pirates and two of four from the Arizona Diamondbacks. Those are two of the worst teams in the league right now. 

Trevor Rogers gets the nod for Miami and really bounced back from a very poor game against the Phillies last Friday against the Braves. Rogers pitched five scoreless innings while striking out four, and walking two. It took him 95 pitches to go five innings, but he held it together. 

Rogers couldn’t ask for a better matchup to continue getting back in the groove. The Nationals are hitting just .223 as a team and rank 28th in home runs per game. They don’t strike out a lot, but Rogers isn’t really a strikeout pitcher. 

The Nationals have yet to announce a starter at the time of writing. But, I don’t see anyone on their depth chart that would excite me. I think the Marlins continue to get stronger and move above .500 for the first time all season. 

Pick: Marlins ML (-146)

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

Home/MLB Odds