Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction and Pick for July 2 (Value on Home Underdog)

Miami and Washington do battle for the 11th time this year in Game 2 of their four game set. Daniel Castano goes for the Marlins making his fourth start of the season he is 0-1. On the other side, rookie Jackson Tetreault is also making his fourth start. Tetreault has managed a 2-1 record. 

If the Nationals can string together a few wins in this series with Miami, they could be able to claw their way out of the basement in the NL East. 

Odds are available at WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line

• Marlins -1.5 (+145)
• Nationals +1.5 (-175)

Moneyline

• Marlins +100
• Nationals -110

Total

• 9.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction and Pick

You might look at this pitching matchup and say, who?

Well that makes two of us, but that is what happens when you get two teams well under .500 and the season gets into July. We can prepare ourselves for many more games like this with unknown pitchers and even less known players in the lineup. Especially after the trade deadline ravages some already abysmal rosters. 

So let’s take a look at Daniel Castano for Miami. He has pitched 71 innings in the major leagues over the last three years, mostly as a spot starter, but also has five appearances out of the bullpen. This year, across his 21 innings of work, he has managed a 2.57 ERA, but that might not be a true indicator of future success.

He has a very mediocre 1.71 strikeout to walk ratio and a 4.37 fielding independent pitching. The Marlins have won his last two outings, but his best start of the year he went 6.2 scoreless, but did not get the run support needed. 

Jackson Tetrault has had one awful start, in his first career action, but since then has improved with two quality starts in a row. He only strikes out 4.2 per nine innings and has a 5.37 FIP which is a sign that his success in his last two starts might not continue. 

I honestly don’t know where to go with this one. It’s an ugly pitching matchup that could get out of hand, but these two offenses don’t strike fear into an opponent and both pitchers have proved they can give a quality outing. Times like these I just take the plus sign and hope, especially when that team has Juan Soto.

Lean: Nationals +105

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