Marquette vs. North Carolina Prediction and Odds for NCAA Men's Tournament First Round

Mar 10, 2022; Brooklyn, NY, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels forward Armando Bacot (5) hangs on the rim
Mar 10, 2022; Brooklyn, NY, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels forward Armando Bacot (5) hangs on the rim / Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Marquette and North Carolina are set to face in the East Region's 8/9 matchup with the winner advancing to face Baylor.

The Tar Heels come into the NCAA Tournament hot, knocking off Duke in the regular season finale before bowing out in the ACC Tournament semifinal against Virginia Tech. They are matched up with Shake Smart's Marquette Golden Eagles, who are limping into March Madness after losing to Creighton in the Big East Tournament quarterfinals.

Here are the odds for the first round meeting from WynnBET Sportsbook with a statistical profile of each team and best bet:

Marquette vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread and Total


  • Marquette +4 (-110)
  • North Carolina -4 (-110)


  • Marquette +145
  • North Carolina -175

Total: 151 (Over -110/Under -110)

Marquette vs. North Carolina Analysis


  • Regular Season Record: 19-12
  • ATS Record:16-14-1
  • Over/Under Record: 15-15
  • SoS: 32nd
  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 109.8
  • Defensive Efficiency: 95.8
  • eFG%: 52.6%
  • FT%: 74.7%
  • 3PT%: 34.7%
  • Last Year’s Tournament Result: N/A

North Carolina

  • Regular Season Record: 24-9
  • ATS Record:16-16-1
  • Over/Under Record: 19-14
  • SoS: 37th
  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 113.0
  • Defensive Efficiency: 97.0
  • eFG%: 52.1%
  • FT%: 77.2%
  • 3PT%: 36.2%
  • Last Year’s Tournament Result: First Round
  • Odds to win National Championship: +10000

Marquette vs. North Carolina Prediction and Pick

This matchup sets up nicely for the Tar Heels, who are starting to reach their potential down the stretch. Hubert Davis' club is 23rd in's adjusted efficiency metric since February 12th, while Marquette ranks 105th in the country.

The Heels can expose the Golden Eagles deficient defensive rebounding with big man Armando Bacot as long as the team can protect the ball against Marquette's turnover driven defense.

UNC is the more reliable offense and I like them to dominate on the glass en route to a victory over a sputtering Marquette team.

PICK: North Carolina -4

You can find all of Reed's bets

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