Matt Ryan is the Best Value Bet to Win NFL MVP
The NFL schedule was released yesterday, so it's time to start looking ahead at some NFL futures.
One that I have my eye on is for Matt Ryan to win NFL MVP, which is available at +3000 at WynnBET.
Before you laugh at me, hear me out.
Matt Ryan is An MVP Candidate
I will die on the hill that Matt Ryan is the most underrated quarterback of our generation. Those who say he's not as good as the top tier quarterbacks, simply haven't watched him enough. The Falcons have never been a favorite of the media, and hardly ever play prime time games.
As a result, non-Falcons fans would only see Matt Ryan play a couple of times a season throughout his career. He isn't flashy like some other players, so he would just quietly put up league-best numbers year-after-year. People who say he's an above average QB, could not be more wrong.
2008 - 2019 3rd and 4th Down with win probability between 15% and 85%:
— Marko Marković (@MarkoMarkonym) June 16, 2020
Matt Ryan leads all QBs in those situations with a 49% success rate while ranking 4th in EPA/play.
Falcons Defense over his career ranks 31st in success rate, 30th in EPA/play. pic.twitter.com/64bFULq8C8
Let's take a look at this tweet from 2020, and specifically the graphic on the left. In terms of quarterback efficiency, Ryan is right up there with Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, and Drew Brees. So why doesn't he get the love that those three players gets?
Now, Ryan gets to play on the best team he's been on since the Falcons' Super Bowl run a few years back, a season in which he won MVP of the league. Not only that, but he gets to play behind one of the better offensive lines of his career.
The sky is the limit for the Colts this season, and that includes Matt Ryan re-establishing himself as one of the best quarterbacks in the league. This will be a career-defining season for him, and at 30/1, he's the best bet on the board to win NFL MVP.
You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.