Memphis vs. Boise State Prediction and Odds for NCAA Men's Tournament

AAC Basketball Tournament - Championship -  Memphis v Houston
AAC Basketball Tournament - Championship - Memphis v Houston / Ron Jenkins/GettyImages
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The No. 9 seeded Memphis Tigers and 8-seed Boise State Broncos will handle the 8/9 matchup in the West region of the NCAA men's Tournament.

The Tigers, who fell to the Houston Cougars on Selection Sunday in the championship of the AAC Tournament, look to rebound and get a long tournament run going. Neither of these teams made the tournament last year. Can either go from out of the Madness to leading it?

Here are the odds for the matchup via WynnBET.

Boise State vs. Memphis Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Memphis: -2.5 (-110)
  • Boise State: +2.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Memphis: -145
  • Boise State: +120

Total:

  • 133.5 (Over: -110/Under: -110)

Memphis vs. Boise State Analysis

Memphis

  • Regular Season Record: 21-9
  • ATS Record:15-14-1
  • Over/Under Record: 16-14
  • SoS: 56th
  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 110.9
  • Defensive Efficiency: 94.0
  • eFG%: 52.8%
  • FT%: 69.5%
  • 3PT%: 36.4%
  • Last Year’s Tournament Result: N/A
  • Odds to win National Championship: +10000

Boise St.

  • Overall Record: 27-7
  • ATS Record: 18-15
  • Over/Under Record: 16-17
  • SoS: 82nd
  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 108.5
  • Defensive Efficiency: 92.1
  • eFG%: 51.1%
  • FT%: 65.0%
  • 3PT%: 34.1%
  • Last Year’s Tournament Result: N/A
  • Odds to win National Championship: +15000

Boise State vs. Memphis Prediction and Pick

Memphis lost to Houston in the AAC tournament final, but I think they will bounce back against Boise State. The Broncos make me nervous because as bad of a free-throw shooting team as Memphis is, they are worse. Boise State shoots 65% from the stripe, which will be their downfall if the game gets close.

The Tigers have finished the season on a hot streak. Before the AAC Final, they'd won 12 of their last 13 games. The Tigers has found out what works for them and that identity will be a big factor in them moving on.

Both defenses are elite, and sets this game up to go down to the wire. In those cases, I'll take the better shooting team.

Lean: Memphis -2.5 (-110)


You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.


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