Mets vs. Braves Prediction and Odds for Monday, August 15 (Mets Undervalued With Carrasco on Mound)

The Atlanta Braves are one of the hottest teams in baseball, winning six straight games heading into Monday’s matchup with the New York Mets, yet they are still 5.5 games behind the Mets in the division. 

New York got the best of the Braves in their last series, and now Atlanta is looking to do some home cooking to get back into the race for the NL East crown. 

Rookie sensation Spencer Strider (6-4, 3.11 ERA) starts for Atlanta against veteran Carlos Carrasco (13-4, 3.76 ERA). Strider ruffled some feathers with his comments about the Mets getting lucky after his last start against them. 

Surely, these two teams won’t be jawing all night long…

Let’s jump into the odds from WynnBET: 

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

• Mets +1.5 (-150)
• Braves -1.5 (+125)

Moneyline:

• Mets: +137
• Braves: -147

Total: 

• 8 (Over -105/Under -115)

Mets vs. Braves Prediction and Pick

Call me crazy, but I think the Braves are way overvalued in this spot, especially since Strider struggled in his last outing against the Mets, giving up four runs in 2.2 innings. 

Carrasco has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since the start of July, posting a 1.69 ERA and 5-0 record while the Mets have won all seven of his starts. He was solid against the Braves back on Aug. 4, allowing just three runs on four hits in six innings. 

I know that Strider has been striking out batters at an insane rate, but I don’t think he deserves to be favored by this much against this Mets team. New York has been hot in its own right, winning eight of its last 10 games heading into this matchup. 

I’ll back the Mets as road dogs with Carrasco still pitching like one of the best starters in the NL. 

Lean: Mets ML (+137)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.