Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, April 27 (Back Nearly Unhittable Carlos Carrasco Against STL)

The New York Mets continue to look like one of the most dangerous teams in the Major Leagues to start the 2022 season. They lead the NL East by a whopping 4.5 games and have the second-best record in the league behind the Dodgers. The Mets are set to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday to close out a three-game series at Busch Stadium. The Mets took Game 1 5-2 and are riding a modest two-game winning streak. 

The Cardinals may be in first place in the NL Central, but the division is a bit weak right now and the Cardinals are just 9-6 coming off Monday’s loss. Overall, they have lost three of their last five games. 

Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line

• Mets: -1.5 (+145)
• Cardinals: +1.5 (-175)

Moneyline:

• Mets: -117
• Cardinals: +107

Total:

• Total 7 (Over -110/Under -110)

Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction and Pick

The Mets have been getting it done both at the plate and on the mound during the first few weeks of the season. On the offensive side of things, the Mets rank fourth in batting average, seventh in runs per game and fourth in total strikeouts. On the mound, New York is second in opponent BA, hits per game, and leads the MLB in strikeouts per game. 

A big, and rather surprising reason, they are doing so well on the hill is Carlos Carrasco. The veteran righty finished last year with an ugly 6.04 ERA. But, the Mets decided to give him another go this year. This was a good call as Carrasco has a 1.47 ERA and 0.60 WHIP in 18 ⅓ innings pitched. His last outing was a win against a very good San Francisco Giants team. He went 7 ⅔ innings, striking out seven and giving up two earned runs. He is locked in like I’ve not seen him in a while. 

Facing him will be Steven Matz who I think is in for a rough day. Matz enters this game with a 5.27 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 13 ⅔ innings. And while he has settled down since a disastrous first start, I am not convinced he’s out of the woods just yet. Matz had a great game last Friday, pitching five innings of one-run ball. But, it was against the Reds who have the worst offense in the MLB right now. The Mets are a much tougher opponent and I think Matz fails to stand tall against his former team. 

Pick: Mets -117

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE