Mets vs. Padres Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, June 8 (Padres Struggles Against Right-Handed Pitchers Key)

The 34-22 San Diego Padres earned a 7-0 win over the 38-20 New York Mets last night and hope for a similar result tonight as they square off at 9:40 PM EST.

We've got a great pitching matchup in store as Sean Manaea takes on Chris Bassitt.

Manaea has thrown eight quality starts in 10 outings this year, sporting a 2-3 record and 3.77 ERA. He's struggled at home though, compiling a 5.01 ERA in four starts.

Bassitt has been plagued by inconsistency and has been open about his frustrations with changes made to the baseball in the offseason. His "A"-game is still strong though, as evidenced by a quality start against the Dodgers last week and holding the Phillies to one run in his start before that. On the year, he has a 4-3 record and 3.74 ERA.

Can Bassitt harness his ability to get New York back in the win column or will Manaea lead San Diego to a series win?

Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook as we analyze this Mets vs Padres matchup:

Mets vs Padres Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

• Mets +1.5 (-195)
• Padrs -1.5 (+165)

Moneyline:

• Mets: +120
• Padres: -130

Total:

• 7.5 (Over +105/Under -125)

Mets vs Padres Prediction and Pick

It wouldn't surprise me if either of these teams made the World Series, and tonight's series finale should be a doozy. At their core, Sean Manaea and Chris Bassitt has similar profiles as pitchers. Manaea has a slight edge in expected ERA (3.48 vs 3.68) and strikeouts per nine innings (9.87 to 9.42) but Bassitt gives up fewer walks per nine (2.92 vs 3.05).

Though as you can see, we're basically splitting hairs. So to pick a winner, I'll look to the lineups.

The Mets have been mashing pretty much everyone, yesterday's shutout notwithstanding. They scored 25 runs combined over their three games prior to last night, so an off-day is acceptable. With the ninth-highest OPS against left-handed pitchers over the last three weeks, they'll be able to take take advantage of Manaea's mistakes.

San Diego's starter ranks in the 23rd percentile in average exit velocity, so he can be hit hard. The same can't be said for Bassitt, who ranks in the 92nd percentile in average exit velocity.

But New York's largest advantage is the Padres' biggest weakness. San Diego is dreadful against right-handed pitchers. They're 28th in OPS against righties over the last 30 days, just ahead of the lowly lineups of Detroit and Oakland.

In Manaea's last seven starts, the Padres are 2-5. They're just 1-3 in their last four as a favorite as well. Meanwhile, the Mets are 4-2 in Bassitt's last six and 3-1 in their last four as an underdog.

I'll trust New York's lineup as the key advantage and take the Mets to bounce back to win the series, continuing to assert themselves as the National League's best team.

Pick: Mets (+120)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.