Mets vs. Padres Prediction and Odds for Monday, June 6 (Look to Over)

New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor.
New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor. / Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
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The New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers split their weekend series, but New York is still on its West Coast trip to take on the San Diego Padres. Can the NL East leading Mets keep up their fine play?

San Diego is firmly in the mix for an NL Wild Card berth and are hoping to reintegrate Blake Snell into the rotation after he started the season on the injured list, but will have a stiff test against one of the deepest lineups in baseball in the Mets. Who has the edge? Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Mets vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Total

Run Line:

  • Mets: +1.5 (-220)
  • Padres: -1.5 (+180)

Moneyline:

  • Mets: +103
  • Padres: -113

Total: 7.5 (Over +100/Under -120)

Mets vs. Padres Prediction and Pick

These are two of the best in the National League, and I actually find myself liking the over quite a bit. The Mets have been strong against left handed pitching this season, top half of the league in on-base percentage this season. While Snell is still being stretch out (he pitched six innings for the first time this season last time out), the Mets ability to plate runs is noted and the Padres used their bullpen quite a bit over the weekend against the Brewers.

If Snell struggles and forces the team to go into their pen for extended work, the Mets can push this game over on their own. However, I expect the Padres to pounce on Carlos Carrasco, who has staggering home/road splits. Carrasco has a 2.78 ERA in six home starts, posting a 4-0 record, while his ERA has ballooned north of 5.00 on the road. This is a formidable Padres lineup that is looking for a spark, bottom 10 in on-base percentage since May 15, and Carrasco can be ripe for a poor start.

I'll look to this low total to go over given the concerns on the mound despite the name brand.

LEAN: Over 7.5 (+100)


You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!