Mets vs. Phillies Prediction and Odds for Saturday, May 7 (Mad Max to Rebound as a Favorite in Philadelphia)

The second game of the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies weekend series was put on hold yesterday due to inclement weather. There's doubleheader to make up for it today, so these rivals will carry on as usual with a single game this afternoon. 

The Phillies are proving that they are not a true contender for the NL East after losing four games in a row and five of their last six. Two of those games were against the Mets by a combined score of 18-13. The Mets look to continue their assault on the division; leading their NL East competitors with a 19-9 record. 

The Mets send Max Scherzer to the mound this afternoon.  New York has to be hope that the veteran superstar will bounce back after a rough day vs these same Phillies last weekend. 

Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line

• Mets: -1.5 (+115)
• Phillies: +1.5 (-140)

Moneyline:

• Mets: -145
• Phillies: +135

Total:

• Total 7 (Over -105/Under -115)

Mets vs. Phillies

 Prediction and Pick

Scherzer is having a great season; heading into today's start with a 2.61 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. The good news is that Scherzer has only one really bad game this year. The bad news is that the game was six days ago against this same Phillies team. It's worth noting that he still won that game after the Mets' offense exploded for 10 runs.

For as bad as they have been overall, the Phillies can rake if they get hot. They proved this by putting up four earned runs against Scherzer in six innings of work. Scherzer gave up an astonishing three home runs after surrendering just one all season up until that point. Not great, but Scherzer gets a pass here. The Phillies have a very dangerous lineup and can go off against anyone. They just don’t actually do it very often. 

Hopefully, for Philly, they won’t have to go off on New York with Kyle Gibson on the hill. Gibson has been fantastic all year and gives the Phillies a chance to win games without a ton of run support. But, while Gibson has been solid, some of his metrics are concerning. Particularly his contact and walk rates. Gibson struck out three Mets last Saturday but walked five in 4 ⅓ innings. In his last three games, Gibson has a shaky K/BB rate of 10/9. 

I think some regression is in the cards for Gibson, and the Mets’ offense can be the catalyst for that tailspin. Scherzer will be out for revenge after hus performance last weekend. I, for one, think he can pull it off. 

Pick: Mets -145

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE