Mets vs. Rockies Prediction and Odds for Sunday, May 22 (Mets Take Advantage of Slumping Rockies)
By Joe Summers
After splitting the first two games of the series, the 19-20 Colorado Rockies host the 27-15 New York Mets in a rubber match today at 3:10 PM EST.
New York's bats exploded for 11 runs yesterday and Colorado will trust Austin Gomber to slow them down in this one. Gomber has a quality start in four of his last five outings though has managed only a 4.38 ERA in seven starts.
The Mets will counter with Taijuan Walker, who has struggled with consistency through five appearances while showing flashes of a dominant starter. In his last three starts, he allowed six runs in four innings to the Phillies, threw seven scoreless against the Nationals, then surrendered three runs in five innings to the Cardinals. He's been a bit all over the place.
Which Walker will the Mets get today? Can he shut the Rockies' potent lineup down to give New York a series win or will Gomber lead Colorado to a home victory?
Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help us answer those questions and pick a winner in this Mets vs Rockies matchup:
Mets vs Rockies Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Mets -1.5 (+120)
- Rockies +1.5 (-145)
Moneyline:
- Mets: -117
- Rockies: +107
Total:
- 11.0 (Over -110/Under -110)
Mets vs Rockies Prediction and Pick
Despite winning two of three, the Rockies are in a slump. They're 3-9 over their last dozen games as their pitching staff is starting to fall apart. Opponents are scoring seven runs per game in Colorado's last 11, a mark that would easily be worst in the league, so Gomber will need to steady the ship if the Rockies are going to win today.
Luckily for Colorado, Gomber is a consistent, steady presence indeed. He's not spectacular, but he has a 3.60 ERA over his last five starts totaling 30 innings and always seems to give the Rockies a chance to win.
Ironically, consistency is Mets' starter Taijuan Walker's biggest problem. He seems just as likely to throw a shutout as he does to get chased early, so that makes his matchups difficult to project. But if you remove a disaster start against the Phillies, he's actually been quite good. Other than that six-run debacle in four innings, Walker has a 1.04 ERA in 26 innings.
The Mets' bullpen has a significant advantage over Colorado's league-worst unit too, especially after forcing the Rockies to use five relievers yesterday. Austin Gomber is in the 12th percentile in expected batting average, so he's likely been a bit lucky to this point in the season. New York's bats should find success, while the same can't necessarily be said for the Rockies'.
Colorado is just 3-12 in their last 15 as an underdog while New York is 11-5 in their previous 16 on the road. I expect both trends to continue and love the short number on the Mets as the good Walker shows up.
Pick: Mets (-117)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.