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Mets vs. Yankees Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, August 23 (Fade Frankie Montas in New York)

By Peter Dewey

New York Yankees starting pitcher Frankie Montas has struggled in his three starts in pinstripes; going 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in 14 innings.
New York Yankees starting pitcher Frankie Montas has struggled in his three starts in pinstripes; going 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in 14 innings. / Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
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New York Yankees fans were able to exhale a little on Monday night, as their team picked up a 4-2 win over the New York Mets in the opening game of their two-game set this week. 

The Yankees are still a putrid 6-14 in the month of August, but are now winners of two straight heading into a matchup against Mets righty Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.36 ERA). Frankie Montas (4-10, 3.87 ERA) gets the ball for New York, and will look to rebound from a rough performance against the Toronto Blue Jays in his last outing. 

The Yankees are far from locking up the AL East given their play lately, but a sweep against this surging Mets team would certainly do a lot for their confidence. 

Here are the odds from WynnBET for tonight’s showdown in the Bronx: 

Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Yankees -1.5 (+155)

Moneyline: 

  • Mets: +112
  • Yankees: -122

Total: 

  • 8.5 (Over -120/Under +100)

Mets vs. Yankees Prediction and Pick

Walker is working his way back from a bulging disc in his back, and August has been a rough month for him to say the least. 

The veteran right-hander allowed eight runs in one inning of work against the Atlanta Braves in his first start of the month, and lasted just two innings in his last start due to the back injury. 

However, he may not be the lesser option, as Montas has been brutal away from Oakland Coliseum this season. In 12 starts in Oakland, Montas has a 2.86 ERA. When he ventures away from the Coliseum? His ERA balloons to 6.34. That’s why the Yankees’ decision to trade for him at the deadline was a little questionable. 

With New York, Montas has allowed 14 earned runs in 14 innings across three starts. There’s no way he can be trusted here, especially since he’s been jumped on for a bunch of runs early by the Toronto Blue Jays and St. Louis Cardinals. 

After a down game on Monday, I think the Mets’ offense bounces back here. I don’t love Walker, but he did pitch six innings of three-run ball in his first outing against the Yankees in 2022. 

LEAN: Mets ML (+112)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

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