Miami Dolphins Dominate NFL MVP Bets in November

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) and wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) have accounted for the most NFL MVP bets at Caesars during November.
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) and wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) have accounted for the most NFL MVP bets at Caesars during November. / JIM RASSOL/THE PALM BEACH POST / USA

Sports bettors are literally buying in on not just one Miami Dolphins player to win NFL Most Valuable Player, they're doubling down on two of them!

Through the month of November, Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has watched his odds skyrocket in the NFL MVP race; moving from as long as 80/1, to the second-shortest favorite on the board behind Kansas City Chiefs QB, Patrick Mahomes.

The lefty third-year quarterback isn't the only one seeing his odds soar up the board. First-year Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill has also watched his numbers climb as high as +5000 at some books heading into Week 11.

While their exceptional week-in-week-out numbers have led to oddsmakers naturally lowering the odds on the board for both candidates, Caesars Sportsbook mentioned specifically that both Tagovailoa and Hill are responsible for the most NFL MVP bets throughout the month of November; with Tagovailoa leading the way with the most number of wagers.

Can Tua Tagovailoa or Tyreek Hill Actually Win NFL MVP?

The last time the Miami Dolphins took home an NFL MVP award was back in 1984 with Dan Marino. Since the league first announced a Most Valuable Player back in 1957, Marino's win in his second NFL season is the one and only time a Dolphins player has ever won.

The odds clearly indicate Tagovailoa's MVP chances are more than just a shot in the dark. Tagovailoa right now has the highest EPA (Expected Points Added) in the NFL right now through 10 weeks. According to The Ringer's Sheil Kapadia, Tua's EPA per pass play numbers puts him in the category with three (likely) future Hall of Fame quarterbacks, and one already inducted into Canton.

Right now, Mahomes is the favorite, and rightfully so. He's on pace to break Peyton Manning's all-time single season passing yards and possibly the touchdown record as well. As for Tua, he's seven touchdown passes and almost 900 yards passing behind the Chiefs quarterback, but the Dolphins have not lost a game Tagovailoa has both started and finished this year, while also leading the NFL in passer rating, and yards per attempt.

Hill's opportunity feels much more like a shot in the dark, and despite the huge potential payday, likely isn't worth a wager. No wide receiver has ever won NFL MVP in its history, and even if Hill sets the all-time receiving record set by Calvin Johnson of the Detroit Lions in 2012, it still may not be enough as his quarterback would likely benefit most.

Hill is much more likely to take home NFL Offensive Player of the Year over MVP, but will have to catch up to Minnesota Vikings receiver Justin Jefferson to earn those honors.

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Game and futures odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.