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Miami (Ohio) vs. Northern Illinois Prediction and Odds for College Football Week 12 (Can't Trust Huskies)

By Reed Wallach

Dec 23, 2021; Frisco, TX, USA; Miami (Ohio) Redhawks quarterback Brett Gabbert (5) throws a pass in
Dec 23, 2021; Frisco, TX, USA; Miami (Ohio) Redhawks quarterback Brett Gabbert (5) throws a pass in / Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
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Miami (Ohio) will look to keep their bowl eligibility alive on Tuesday night, but must do it on the road against Northern Illinois.

The reigning MAC Champions have come down to earth with Northern Illinois as there have been four different quarterbacks take snaps due to injury as the team now sits at 3-7 on the year. However, the team scored a late game victory last week at Western Michigan in the final minute, could that be a momentum building win heading into the home stretch of the season?

Let's check out the odds and see who will win this hotly contested MAC matchup:

Miami (Ohio) vs. Northern Illinois Odds, Spread and Total

Miami (Ohio) vs. Northern Illinois Betting Trends

  • Northern Illinois is 1-5 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • Norhtern Illinois is 7-3 to the OVER this season
  • Northern Illinois has gone OVER in four of six games as a favorite
  • Miami (Ohio) has gone UNDER in eight of 10 games this season

Miami (Ohio) vs. Northern Illinois Prediction and Pick

The Huskies have rotated through four different quarterbacks, most recently run-first QB Justin Lynch. The weekly guessing game of who will be healthy enough to start makes it difficult to handicap Northern Illinois games, but I do think that Miami has a good shot to win out and make a bowl game.

While the team struggled to slow down Kurtis Rourke and the Ohio offense last week en route to a 37-21, this is a different group for Northern Illinois that is more of a ground based unit. The team is 21st in rush rate per game on the year and is 32nd in success rate on the ground. However, Miami counters that with the 18th best rush defense in terms of success rate.

If Northern Illinois goes to Lynch again, a total non threat in the passing game, this can be tough sledding for the NIU offense. Meanwhile, I still believe in this RedHawks passing game with Brett Gabbert back under center. The offense slowed down considerably with Gabbert out due to injuries, but just last year this group had a top 25 passing game.

Against an NIU secondary that is 112th in success rate against the pass and 128th in EPA/Pass, I think we see the Miami offense look like the 2021 version again and win this game outright, keeping their bowl dreams alive.

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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