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Miami vs. Kansas Prediction and Odds for Elite Eight (Miami To Put Up Another Fight)

By Reed Wallach

Mar 25, 2022; Chicago, IL, USA; Miami Hurricanes guard Isaiah Wong (2) shoots during the first half
Mar 25, 2022; Chicago, IL, USA; Miami Hurricanes guard Isaiah Wong (2) shoots during the first half / Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports
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No. 10 seed Miami is into the Elite Eight after blowing out No. 11 Iowa State in the Sweet Sixteen on Friday night. The Hurricanes are set to face the lone No. 1 seed left in the NCAA Tournament, Kansas, who took care of Providence in the Midwest regional semifinals.

One of Miami or Kansas will head to the Final Four on Sunday night with the Jayhawks sitting as substantial favorites in this showdown.

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook as well as our best bet:

Miami vs. Kansas Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Miami: +6 (-110)
  • Kansas: -6 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Miami: +220
  • Kansas: -270

Total: 147.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Miami vs. Kansas Prediction and Pick

Miami has thrived in the role as an underdog all season, going 8-2 against the spread and winning 7 of those outright. Now, they face a Kansas team that is continuing to show some concerning signs heading into the final stages of the season.

The Jayhawks could not build a lead against Providence in the Sweet Sixteen despite the Friars missing their first 10 3-point attempts and shooting 17% all game. The team failed to cover the 7.5-point closing spread. With that being said, Miami's offense is much stronger than the Friars, ranking inside the top 20 in adjusted offensive efficiency according to KenPom.

The Jayhawks don't generate a ton of turnovers and the Hurricanes five out offense should open up driving lanes for their dynamic guards like Kameron McGusty to finish inside.

This is a Kansas team that doesn't excel at anything on the defensive end and their ShotQuality adjusted defense thinks much lower of them than their results. For reference, their adjusted defensive efficiency is 22nd according to KenPom while SQ rates it 47th, meaning they have benefitted from some shot variance.

Miami, with head coach Jim Larranaga who has Final Four experience, has the opportunity to take advantage of an overrated Kansas defense and hang within this number. The team is top 10 in turnover rate on the offensive side of the ball and is top 30 in effective field goal percentage.

KU has struggled to cover big spreads all season with their iffy defense, and I think we see the same case on Sunday.

PICK: Miami +6 (-110)

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