Michigan State vs. Minnesota Prediction and Odds: Expect a Defensive Battle at The Barn
No. 19 Michigan State will play its first Big Ten opponent of the season when it takes on the Minnesota Golden Gophers on Wednesday night at Williams Arena.
After beginning the season unranked, a 7-2 start including a win over a ranked UConn team has been enough to catapult the Spartans into the AP Top 25. The only losses Michigan State has suffered this was was to then-ranked No. 3 Kansas and the defending champion Baylor Bears, who were ranked No. 6 at the time.
Meanwhile, Minnesota, who is unranked, has a spotless 7-0 record so far this season. The Gophers haven't faced any ranked opponents, but they do have impressive wins against Pittsburgh and Mississippi State.
Here are the odds for today's Big Ten matchup, courtesy of WynnBET.
Michigan State vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, and Total
Spread:
- Michigan State -7.5 (-105)
- Minnesota +7.5 (-115)
Moneyline:
- Michigan State -300
- Minnesota +240
Total:
- 135.5 (Over -115/Under -105)
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Michigan State vs. Minnesota Betting Trends
- The UNDER is 4-1 in Michigan State's last five games.
- Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. Minnesota.
- Minnesota is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games.
- The UNDER is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between these teams.
- The UNDER is 10-2 in the last 12 Minnesota home games.
Michigan State vs. Minnesota Prediction and Pick
I'm going to back the trends in this one and take the UNDER 135.5 on the total. It's 8-0 in the last eight meetings between these two teams, and 10-2 in the last 12 games for Minnesota at home.
Statistically, the two teams have been among the best on their own side of the court so far this season. Michigan State ranks 14th in opponent effective field goal percentage, and Minnesota is right behind them in that category, ranking 19th. The two teams are also 31st and 32nd in defensive efficiency.
Neither team plays at a fast-pace either, which is always good for an UNDER bet. Michigan State ranks 181st in field goal attempts per game, and Minnesota ranks 202nd.
I'll back the trends in this one and dabble on the UNDER.