Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Prediction and Odds for Big 10 Tournament Quarterfinal (Badgers the Right Bet)

Mar 6, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA;  Wisconsin Badgers guard Chucky Hepburn (23) and guard Johnny
Mar 6, 2022; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers guard Chucky Hepburn (23) and guard Johnny / Mary Langenfeld-USA TODAY Sports

The Wisconsin Badgers weren't able to lock up sole possession of the Big Ten regular season title after a shocking loss to Nebraska on Senior Day, but did get a double bye in the Big Ten Tournament.

Wisconsin now faces Michigan State in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals after splitting the season series against Sparty. Tom Izzo's club nearly squandered a late lead after struggling to break Maryland's press defense, but are now into the next round. Can they hold up against Big Ten Player of the Year Johnny Davis?

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread and Total


  • Michigan State: +3 (-110)
  • Wisconsin: -3 (-110)


  • Michigan State: +130
  • Wisconsin: -160

Total: 137 (Over -110/Under -110)

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Prediction and Pick

Many will have their gripes about the Badgers, but Michigan State has continued to show their true colors over the past month, getting blitzed by any real Big Ten competition outside of a home win at Purdue over the past month or so. Since February 1st, Michigan State is ranked 82nd in barttorvik.com's adjusted efficiency ranking with a 5-7 record.

The Badgers dropped the first game in East Lansing this season without starting forward Tyler Wahl, but had Wahl in the second meeting when they won by 8. Now they get Sparty, who nearly blew a 9 point lead in the final two minutes to Maryland on Thursday night, with extra prep time and a rested Johnny Davis.

I don't think very highly of the Spartans, who are last in the Big Ten in turnover rate and have the third worst 2-point offense. The team is heavily reliant on making 3's, but the Badgers have done a great job of limiting them and defending them (second lowest 3-point percentage and third lowest rate). I think Wisconsin gets it done against a mediocre Michigan State team.

PICK: Wisconsin -3

All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 93-85-3 for +4.38 units.