Michigan vs. Colorado State Prediction and Odds for NCAA Men's Tournament First Round

Colorado State Rams guard David Roddy.
Colorado State Rams guard David Roddy. / Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The South Region has a potential upset in the making as the No. 6 Colorado State Rams will face the No. 11 Michigan Wolverines on Thursday, March 17, in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. 

While the upset may seem to be Michigan, the Wolverines are actually favored in this game at WynnBET Sportsbook despite their 17-14 record. 

Here are the odds for this matchup: 

Michigan vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread and Total


  • Michigan: -2.5 (-110)
  • Colorado State: +2.5 (-110)


  • Michigan: -145
  • Colorado State: +120


  • 139.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Michigan vs. Colorado State Betting Trends, Insights and Analysis 


  • Overall Record: 17-14
  • ATS Record:13-18
  • Over/Under Record: 18-13
  • SoS: 3rd
  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 114.2
  • Defensive Efficiency: 98.5
  • eFG%: 52.3%
  • FT%: 74.6%
  • 3PT%: 34.0%
  • Last Year’s Tournament Result: Elite 8
  • Odds to win National Championship: +10000

Colorado State

  • Overall Record: 25-5
  • ATS Record:14-15
  • Over/Under Record: 10-19
  • SoS: 85th
  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 114.1
  • Defensive Efficiency: 98.2
  • eFG%: 55.2%
  • FT%: 77.4%
  • 3PT%: 35.7%
  • Last Year’s Tournament Result: N/A
  • Odds to win National Championship: +10000

Michigan vs. Colorado State Prediction and Pick

Give me the Rams all day in this matchup and I won’t look back. 

The fact that Michigan avoided the First Four with a 17-14 record is preposterous, no matter how hard a schedule the Wolverines played. The one issue with that is they only won 17 games! So who cares how tough the schedule was?

The Rams have been a solid team all season out of the Mountain West, and they’re a better shooting team than the Wolverines. 

While Michigan may have more size with Hunter Dickinson down low, the Wolverines are coming off a loss to Indiana in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. Michigan shouldn’t be here, and it definitely shouldn't be favored. 

Lean: Colorado State Moneyline (+120)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

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