Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo Prediction and Odds for Bahamas Bowl
The college football bowl season will begin on Friday, December 17th with a matchup between Middle Tennessee and Toledo at the Bahamas Bowl.
Toledo finished its 2021 campaign hot, winning three straight games to qualify for a bowl. The Rockets finished third in the MAC West, and had impressive performances this season including almost defeating Notre Dame, eventually falling 32-29.
Middle Tennessee won its last game of the season, defeating Florida Atlanta 27-17 to qualify for a bowl game with a 6-6 record. The Blue Raiders finished in fourth place in the C-USA East.
Here are the odds via WynnBET for the Bahamas Bowl.
Bahamas Bowl Odds, Spread, and Total
Spread:
- Toledo -10 (-115)
- Middle Tennessee +10 (-105)
Moneyline:
- Toledo -380
- Middle Tennessee +290
Total:
- 52 (Over -110/Under -110)
Bahamas Bowl Betting Trends
- Toledo is 4-1 ATS in its last five games.
- The OVER is 4-1 in Toledo's last five games.
- Middle Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last six games.
- Middle Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last six games against MAC opponents.
Bahamas Bowl Prediction and Pick
Both team’s defenses are much stronger than their offenses. Toledo ranks 13th in opponent yards per play, Middle Tennessee ranks 37th. They are 22nd and 103rd in offensive yards per play respectively.
Middle Tennessee is likely starting their third string QB, Nick Vattiato. Their first string, Chase Cunningham, is injured and their second string, Bailey Hockman, left the team. Vattiato has thrown five touchdowns and six interceptions this season, and is averaging only 5.7 yards per pass attempt.
Both teams are terrible on third down offensively. 93rd and 124th (8th last) in third down conversion rate, 50th and 58th in defensive third down rate. Those stats point towards an UNDER. Let's root for defense in this one.