Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 13

Nov 19, 2022; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart (2) passes in the
Nov 19, 2022; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart (2) passes in the / Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports

Thursday night's lone college football game is the Egg Bowl between Ole Miss and Mississippi State, a tradition that spans decades in the sport.

Both teams are playing for pride in this one as each group has qualified for a bowl already but can't reach the SEC Championship Game. Instead, Ole Miss will look to make it three in-a-row against their in-state rival on Thanksgiving.

Here are the odds for the 107th Egg Bowl:

Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread and Total

Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Betting Trends

  • Mississippi State is 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in SEC play this season
  • Mississippi State hasn't gone OVER in a road game this season
  • Mississippi State is 0-2 ATS as an underdog this season
  • Ole Miss has won both Egg Bowls under Lane Kiffin

Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Prediction and Pick

Both teams are struggling down the stretch of this season. Ole Miss just got disposed of by Arkansas on the road, 42-27, and now have a quick turnaround with Mississippi State coming to town. Will they get up for this one? Rumors swirled Monday night that Kiffin will take the vacant Auburn job following the Rebels' game on Thursday night.

However, Kiffin denied the report quickly.

While the coach denied it, there has been several connections to him and the job and this also adds fuel to the fire, and also leads to questions heading into the Egg Bowl.

As for the game itself, neither team comes in in great shape.

The Bulldogs have struggled against the run all season, 86th in rush yards allowed per carry and outside the top 90 in explosive rush rate allowed. The defensive line isn't generating a ton of pressure and this can be how Ole Miss moves the ball.

Dart's efficiency has declined, the team is middle of the pack nationally in terms of EPA/Pass, but the ground game is outstanding around Quinshon Judkins. Judkins is a freshman, but has rushed for nearly 1,400 yards and has 16 touchdowns. He is averaging six yards per carry and can attack this Miss State defensive front.

On the other side, the Miss State air raid offense has also sputtered in SEC play. The unit is 76th in EPA/Pass and the team is bottom half nationally in both yards per play and explosive play rate.

Both teams have slowed down, but this is as heated of a rivalry game as you'll see. There isn't a ton of value here, but with questions around Kiffin and the Auburn job, I think Miss State is more likely to win the game outright than these odds indicate.

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.