Missouri vs. Army Prediction and Odds for Armed Forces Bowl

Nov 13, 2021; West Point, New York, USA; Army Black Knights running back Markens Pierre (25) runs
Nov 13, 2021; West Point, New York, USA; Army Black Knights running back Markens Pierre (25) runs / Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports
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Army and Missouri are set to do battle in the Armed Forces Bowl, which is located in Fort Worth, Texas.

Missouri was able to squeak into bowl season with a late season win over Florida at home while the Black Knights had an impressive 8-4 season and will look to finish on a high note with a victory.

The Tigers come into this one with a few key opt outs while service academies are historically dominant in bowl games. Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook and find the best bet.

Missouri vs. Army Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Missouri: +6.5 (-110)
  • Army: -6.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Missouri: +185
  • Army: -225

Total: 55 (Over -110/Under -110)

Army vs. Missouri Betting Trends

  • Service academies are 37-14 ATS since 1980 in Bowl Games (h/t Action Network)
  • Army is 2-5 ATS as a favorite this season
  • Missouri is 3-9 ATS this season
  • Missouri is 2-4 to the OVER as an underdog this season

Army vs. Missouri Prediction and Pick

There has been a ton of line movement in this one towards Army after it was announced that Missouri's star running back Tyler Badie will be out of the bowl game and the Tigers will be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.

The real news is the loss of Badie, who has been the straw that stirs the drink for the Tigers offense. He averaged six yards per carry this season and scored 14 touchdowns on the ground. The loss of can't be overstated for a middling offense, ranking 69th in success rate.

On the other side, it's going to be tough sledding for the Missouri defense, who is bottom 10 in defensive rush success rate. Of course, Army is a triple option team and is going to keep it on the ground for a majority of this game. With a terrible defensive line standing in the way of the Black Knights, Army should have no issue running all over them.

Overall, Army is 34th in success rate on defense, but can be had on big rush plays, outside the top 100 in explosive rush defense. However, with Badie out, that issue should be mitigated .

I was able to grab this line early in bowl season given the historic success service academies have in bowl season and the porous Missouri defense, but I still see value in this at under a touchdown.

PICK: Army -6.5


Check out all my bowl plays on my Twitter @ReedWallach