MLB Best Bets Today (How to Bet Over/Unders on Friday's Baseball Slate)
By Reed Wallach
Let's get some winners heading into the weekend.
Three MLB games that are showing value on the total. Plain and simple. The BetSided team has a host of game preview content for you to check out here, but here are three of our favorites for you to key in on!
MLB Best Bets Today
- Angels vs. Tigers OVER 7.5 (-110)
- Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 (-110)
- Marlins vs. Dodgers UNDER 8 (-115)
Angels vs. Tigers OVER 7.5 (-110)
Ohtani is making a late push for AL MVP with his recent play, as he has boosted his hitting numbers in August quite a bit.
In an 11-7 loss to the Mariners on Wednesday, Ohtani went 4-for-5 with a triple, a home run and four runs batted in. That was against a playoff bound Mariners club, but against the lowly Tigers? I think we see the Halos take care of business.
The team will send out left hander Patrick Sandoval, who has pitched well ableit tough circumstances. Sure, he has a 3-8 record, but the lefty has a 3.42 ERA and an even better FIP at 3.27. It doesn't help that the Angels have a bottom 10 bullpen ERA this season.
Despite their overall offensive struggles, the Tigers actually hit left handed pitching well, sixth in batting average. I think we can see a back-and-forth affair on Friday night between two underachieving teams. One that can rake against lefties and the other that has the best player in the sport. -- Reed Wallach
PICK: OVER 7.5 (-110)
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 (-110)
This is one of my favorite spots of they day, as I expect a gluttony of runs.
Both St. Louis and Arizona are hitting well, and neither pitcher inspires much confidence. The Cardinals have MLB's best offense over the last month, and the Diamondbacks rank ninth in OPS against right-handed pitchers in that time frame. There's nothing stopping these lineups from turning this game into a home run derby.
Tommy Henry walks too many batters, doesn't generate strikeouts, and allows too much hard contact. That's a woeful trifecta that St. Louis will take advantage of.
Meanwhile, Miles Mikolas ranks in the 26th percentile in expected batting average and has a FIP above 5.32 in five of his last six road starts, a mark that would be the worst in MLB over the season. He's been atrocious away from home, and the Diamondbacks are 7-2 in their last nine as home underdogs.
With how well St. Louis is hitting, though, combined with Arizona's horrendous bullpen, I can't trust the Diamondbacks on the moneyline. Instead, I'll fade both pitchers and stick with the over. It's 7-3 in the Cardinals' last 10 games and hit in each of Mikolas' last two starts. With favorable weather conditions in store, bank on another high-scoring affair. -- Joe Summer
Pick: Over 8.5 (-120)
Marlins vs. Dodgers UNDER 8 (-115)
The Marlins have been one of the worst offenses in baseball for some time, 28th in wRC+ and 29th in batting average in the month of August. Now, they travel to face the best team in baseball and a pitcher in Tyler Anderson who has been as good as they come this season.
Anderson has a 2.81 ERA, walking less than two batters per nine innings and giving opposing lineups fits as he has amassed a 13-2 record. There is no team in baseball worse at hitting lefties than the Fish, who are a dismal .209 at the plate against southpaws in 2022.
Another low scoring affair is in order for the Marlins, but the team should be able to stay relatively close on the scoreboard with fellow lefty Jesus Luzardo on the mound. A strikeout artist, punching out more than 11 batters per nine, Luzardo should be able to limit the damage against a Dodgers lineup that is good at hitting lefties but not as elite as they are against righties, 10th in batting average.
I can't count on the Marlins for any sort of run support, but Luzardo should limit the damage, leading me to the under.
PICK: UNDER 8 (-110)