MLB Best Bets Today (Predictions for Marlins vs. Braves, Dodgers vs. Padres and Royals vs. Mariners Total)
By Ben Heisler
Happy MLB Sunday!
With so many afternoon games to dive into on the 24th of April, let's take a closer look at three games that seem to set up well for bettors on the slate.
We'll dive into a few moneyline plays for the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves, as well as the NL West showdown between the L.A. Dodgers and San Diego Padres.
Plus, I'll go over why I like the total for the late afternoon matchup between the Kansas City Royals and Seattle Mariners in the pacific northwest.
All odds via WynnBET Sportsbook:
MLB Best Bets Today
- Marlins ML +115 vs. Braves
- Padres ML +128 vs. Dodgers
- Royals vs. Mariners UNDER 8 Runs (-110)
Marlins ML +115 vs. Braves
BetSided's Reed Wallach did some excellent analysis in his preview, and the latest odds movement reflect his position. He wrote about Miami as a great underdog at +135, and the odds at WynnBET have now moved Miami to +115 on the moneyline.
Jesús Luzardo starts for the Marlins and is due for some positive regression. Despite his high ERA, his FIP (fielding independent pitching) metrics are below 1.00. He's dealt with some back luck, balls misplayed by his infield and should limit a Braves team that's struggled vs. left-handers so far this season.
Padres ML +128 vs. Dodgers
After the perfect start to the season we finally saw Kershaw struggle in his final few frames against the Braves his last time out; giving up four earned runs and two dingers over five innings.
Meanwhile, Sean Manaea has been even more filthy so far this year; giving up just three earned runs through 19 innings while striking out a batter per inning. He's had three straight starts of six or more innings so far this year.
San Diego also gets amped up for its Dodgers series, and aside from Friday's loss, are 4-1 on the moneyline in their last five games. The Padres have also had more success taking the ball out of the park vs. left-handed pitching this season, with nine long balls 172 ABs, compared to just four in 337 vs. right-handers.
Royals vs. Mariners UNDER 8 Runs (-110)
Kansas City's offense has been brutal to start the season. Their 39 runs scored is second-worst in the American League behind only the Baltimore Orioles.
Today, they face last year's AL Cy Young award winner Robbie Ray, who's projected for 6.5 strikeouts; juiced to the over.
Both teams went way over their total yesterday as the Mariners dropped 13 on K.C. in a 13-7 win as they try to sweep away the Royals this afternoon. Like Manaea, Ray has gone at least six innings in every start this year, and comes off his best outing of the season with his control.
Follow all of Ben Heisler's betting plays in real-time HERE