MLB Best Bets Today (White Sox a Sneaky Play at Seattle on Labor Day)

With the New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates postponed on this Labor Day, baseball bettors still have 12 games to choose from on the slate, including 10 of them coming after 4:10 p.m. ET.

For today's best bets, I'm locking in on red-hot hitter that's undervalued at home in a very juicy pitching matchup, a no-run-first inning down in Texas, as well as a sneaky road favorite in the Pacific Northwest between two teams in the AL Wild Card chase.

All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:

MLB Best Bets Today

• Tommy Edman OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+145)
• Rangers - Astros NRFI (+104)
• White Sox -118 ML at Mariners

Tommy Edman OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Earlier today, I took Edman as my "Daily Dinger' home run selection at 8/1 odds today at FanDuel. Sure, he's hitting ninth, but the matchup is as money as it can be, and he's raking with some of the best power hitters in baseball over the last week.

I get that his splits are preferable against left-handed pitching, but how can you argue with his numbers of late? Since August 29, Edman is hitting .440 with an OPS of 1.462, and owns the third-highest isolated power (ISO) numbers in all of baseball.

With Aníbal Sánchez and his 6.66 Fielding Independent Pitching coming to town, I'm riding with Edman until he convinces me otherwise.

Rangers - Astros NRFI (+104)

On the first day sports betting became legal in my state of Kansas, I backed Texas Rangers starter Martín Pérez to show up on his end of the no-run-first-inning (NRFI) vs. the Astros at home. He failed to deliver; giving up just his seventh earned run all season the first time through the order.

I’ll go back to the Rangers’ left-hander in the early going, this time on the road in Houston. Pérez has a 2.08 ERA in the first inning this year, and a 1.06 ERA the first time through the order.

As for the Astros, they give the ball to young Hunter Brown, as another top 100 prospect for Houston gets called up and makes his Big League debut in Houston. The Rangers, with no true scouting reports at the Major League level, may need some time to make adjustments to the super talented prospect, who can hit the upper 90’s with his fastball and mixes in a low 80’s curveball and high 80’s slider with plenty of break. He also struck out 134 batters in 106 innings in the Minors this year, so the stuff plays.

FanDuel offers us terrific odds on this matchup, so I'll happily jump on board.

White Sox -118 ML at Mariners

Lance Lynn's past struggles since returning from the injured list seem to be in the rearview mirror.

Over his last four starts, he has a 1.82 ERA with 29 strikeouts to just two walks. He's struck out 16 batters over his last three innings, and given up just one earned run in his last three starts, all via a solo home run.

As for the Mariners, somehow, Marco Gonzales is pitching far better than what his peripherals would indicate. He has an ERA of 3.99 on the season, but his expected ERA (xERA) is 4.82, while his Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) and expected FIP (xFIP) are nearly a full run higher.

The Sox, despite their offensive issues all year still remain very good vs. left-handed pitching; ranking second in batting average, fourth in weighted-on-base-average (wOBA), and third in weighted-runs-created-plus (wRC+).

I remember when Madison Bumgarner this year had an ERA below 4, but those expected numbers more than a full run above, and since then, he's gotten tattooed. I don't know if Gonzales will see a similar fate, but I'd prefer to fade him than bet him.

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