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MLB Best Prop Bets Today (Alek Manoah Set To Dominate Orioles)

By BetSided Staff

Jul 29, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Alek Manoah (6) delivers a
Jul 29, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Alek Manoah (6) delivers a / Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports
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We nearly have the whole team back today, and we're ready to get after it. There's 16 games on today, with the White Sox and the Royals set to play two.

Peter Dewey and Iain MacMillan had a good day on Monday, going 2-0 in their picks. With more chefs in the kitchen tonight, can we cook up some more winners?

You can also find game-by-game betting plays and previews for every matchup on our MLB Picks page, as well as each team's probable pitchers, weather report and more.

Best MLB Prop Bets Record to Date

  • MLB Best Prop Bets Record: 181-157-0

Best MLB Prop Bets Today

  • Alek Manoah OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-167) - Caesars Sportsbook
  • Zach Thompson UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts (+125) – DraftKings Sportsbook
  • Joe Musgrove OVER 18.5 Outs Recorded (+115) – DraftKings Sportsbook
  • Shohei Ohtani UNDER 20.5 Outs Recorded (-115) – BetMGM Sportsbook

Alek Manoah OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-167) – Caesars Sportsbook

At first glance, Manoah’s strikeout line looks rather expensive at -167 over at Caesars, but do a little price shopping and you’ll realize it’s truly a bargain.


DraftKings is the only other book to have Manoah’s line at 4.5, and they’re nearly at 2/1. Everyone else has stud right-hander’s strikeout prop up at 5.5, and while it’s at plus-odds now, it won’t be for very long.

Manoah’s not a strikeout machine, but he’s consistently going deep into games and has come out on top of this number in nine of his last 10 starts. The Orioles strike out the 11-most number of times in the Majors and Manoah mowed down seven of them in six innings in their last meeting.

You can go either way on this bet, especially if the plus-odds have you giddy. For the purposes of this article, I’ll play it a little safer with 4.5. – Ben Heisler

Zach Thompson UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts (+125) – DraftKings Sportsbook

The Arizona Diamondbacks may not be a contender at 49-59, but if there’s one thing they do well, it’s in the strikeout department.

Dating back to July 1st, the Diamondbacks rank second in Major League Baseball in strikeout rate, striking out on only 19.1% of plate appearances.

Tonight, they host the Pittsburgh Pirates, who will be trotting out Zach Thompson. He’s surpassed 3.5 strikeouts in six of his last 10 starts, but now he’s going to struggle against one of the most disciplined offenses in the Majors.

I feel comfortable backing the UNDER 3.5 strikeouts tonight, especially at +125 odds. – Iain MacMillan

Joe Musgrove OVER 18.5 Outs Recorded (+115) – DraftKings Sportsbook

San Diego Padres starter Joe Musgrove has dominated the San Francisco Giants this season, and I think he’s being a bit undervalued in his outs recorded prop on Tuesday. 

Musgrove has pitched seven innings in each of his starts against the Giants, allowing just five hits and no earned runs over those outings. 

The Giants’ offense is sputtering lately, ranking 17th in batting average and 19th in OPS over the last 15 days. I’ll back Musgrove to work into the seventh inning in this matchup at plus money. – Peter Dewey

Shohei Ohtani UNDER 20.5 Outs Recorded (-115) – BetMGM Sportsbook

Ohtani has missed this line in four straight starts, with his last start being cut short by a forearm injury. Tonight, just a week later, I think we’re in for another short-and-sweet Ohtani outing. The Angels are going to look to manage his pitching night and make sure he’s 100% all night long. 

Even outside of the injury, Ohtani rarely goes seven innings – what it would take to clear this mark. He’s only gone seven innings four times this entire season. Don’t trust that he’ll make his longest start coming off an injury.  — Donnavan Smoot

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