MLB Best Prop Bets Today (Taijuan Walker To Light Up Pirates)
The whole team is back today with nothing but great props for you! Yesterday, we went 2-1, only missing on the UNDER for Logan Webb's Allowed Hits.
Tonight, we're looking at four pitching strikeout props -- with two of us going all in on one of them. There's value all over the board and we're
Don’t forget, you can always find game-by-game betting plays and previews for each matchup on our MLB Picks page, as well as every team’s list of probable pitchers, weather forecasts, and more.
We also track all of our MLB team prop betting plays HERE.
Best MLB Prop Bets Record to Date
- MLB Best Prop Bets Record: 217-196-0 (record before Tuesday’s games)
Joe Musgrove UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts (-154) - Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
It’s time to go back to ol’ faithful; taking the under strikeouts for whatever pitcher is facing the Arizona Diamondbacks. Today, that person is Joe Musgrove.
The Diamondbacks have the lowest strikeout percentage vs. right-handed pitchers since August 1st at 16.5%. That’s an insanely low clip.
Now, they get to take on Musgrove, who has surpassed this total only twice in his last five starts.
Fading whatever pitcher faces the Diamondbacks has been my go to all season, and for good reason. Like they say, “If it ain't broke, don’t fix it." - Iain MacMillan
Aaron Nola OVER 7.5 Strikeouts (+105) - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies starter Aaron Nola has been solid in the 2022 season, but he is coming off a rough outing against the Arizona Diamondbacks, allowing eight runs in just four innings of work.
Rather than dwell on that performance, I think this is a spot to jump back on Nola when he takes on the Miami Marlins sputtering offense on Tuesday night. Miami ranks 24th in baseball in strikeouts per game, averaging 8.79 a night.
In his last start against the Marlins, Nola tallied 10 punch outs in 8.1 innings of work, one of his best starts of the season. He’s cleared 7.5 K’s in five of his last eight starts, so I see no reason to go away from him here against an offense that ranks dead last in runs scored and OPS over the last month. – Peter Dewey
Taijuan Walker OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (+105) - New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates are striking out at the highest rate in baseball over the last month, 26.7% of at bats since August 6th. While Taijuan Walker’s strikeout rate has dropped, he struck out less than three batters per start this past month, he is in line for a bounce back against the free swinging Buccos.
Walker is also coming off of back-to-back starts against the Yankees and Dodgers that could be suppressing his value even more, I think we see his numbers get back to early season marks on Tuesday. – Reed Wallach
This is an easy one for me. Walker is playing the second-worst strikeout team in the league and we can get his line at plus money. Walker has cleared this line in two of his last four games. In his last starts against the Reds and Angels – both in the bottom of strikeouts per game – he crushed this prop. I’m going to back him to do the same thing tonight against another terrible strikeout team. – Donnavan Smoot
Chad Kuhl OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (-104) - Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Chad Kuhl is actually excited to return home to Coors Field!
Let me repeat. Kuhl is happy to pitch in the toughest park for pitchers in the big leagues.
How can that be? For starters, the 29-year old right-hander has had his last three starts all on the road, all against very strong opponents in the San Diego Padres, New York Mets, and Atlanta Braves.
At home this year, he's pitched to a 4.17 ERA compared to 6.00 on the road. 4.17 may not seem like anything noteworthy, but given that it's in the bandbox of Coors Field, that's fairly substantial.
He's also facing a Brewers' lineup striking out the sixth-most in baseball since September, and hitting just .216 as a team.
Kuhl's gone over 3.5 in four of his last five starts, and while everyone zigs to fade him at Coors, I'll zag, knowing the numbers back him up rather than what the narrative should be. -- Ben Heisler