MLB Betting Trends: Underdogs on a Hot Streak in July
By Ben Heisler
The "Dog Days of Summer" may have taken on a new meaning.
With less than two weeks until Major League Baseball's All Star Break from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, we're seeing moneyline underdogs off to a very strong start in the month of July.
Favorites are hovering just below 60% straight up on the 2022 MLB season, but this month, underdogs are covering at 54% straight up.
The records can be a bit deceiving, however. For example, the Miami Marlins are 39-40 on the season, but have won six consecutive games. Despite being seven wins under .500 when their streak got started, Miami has only gone 4-2 ATS, and have been the favorite in four of those six games.
Over the last three days, via Dave Tuley of VSiN, underdogs are 26-17 ATS entering Wednesday's action in the Majors. Going back to the start of the month, favorites are just 34-40 through five full days of baseball.
Here's how the records broke down through each day so far.
MLB Underdog Record in July (run line)
- Friday, July 1: 7-7-0
- Saturday, July 2: 7-10-0
- Sunday, July 3: 9-6-0
- Monday, July 4: 7-6-0
- Tuesday, July 5: 10-5-0
- Wednesday, July 6: TBD
Who are the Best Underdogs in Baseball this Year?
While only being underdogs five times this year, the New York Yankees remain baseball's best dog; going 4-1 as a moneyline underdog and winning at an 80% clip.
The Baltimore Orioles have the most wins on the season as a straight up dog, but are 32-42-0 this season when their opponent is favored. They lead the Arizona Diamondbacks by three games (32-29) for the most number of straight up wins as an underdog.
If you're curious as to which underdog is our favorite bet of the night, be sure to check out Joe Summer's "MLB Underdog of the Day" article featuring an NL West matchup between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks.
Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!