It’s not often that I feel good about betting on the Baltimore Orioles to actually win a baseball game.
Today, they face off against a shockingly bad Los Angeles Angels team as very slight home underdogs at Camden Yards. The Angels are so bad in fact, they have a worse overall record than Baltimore and are languishing in fourth place in the AL West.
With a 3-7 record in their last 10 games, I don’t see the Halos bouncing back and making a series out of this.
Here are the odds for this showdown from WynnBET Sportsbook:
Angels vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, and Total
- Angels: -1.5 (+130)
- Orioles: +1.5 (-160)
- Angels: -117
- Orioles: +107
- Total 8.5 (Over +100/Under -120)
Best MLB Underdog Pick Today
As of early this morning, the Angels were -140 against the Orioles for some reason after going down 0-2 in this series. Sadly, we missed getting Baltimore at +120 as the line crept towards the middle. But, they are underdogs for now so I’m going to roll with it.
A big reason I'm siding with the Orioles today is their starter, Dean Kremer. The righty has been one of the bright spots of this team at 2-1 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Despite getting a late start to the season in June, he’s been an important piece of the Orioles' recent success.
I do worry a bit about his last start which was a total disaster against Texas. Kremer gave up I've earned runs in 4 ⅔ innings on Monday in what might be the worst game of his career. Still, I like him to bounce back here.
While they remain in the basement of the AL East, Baltimore is trending towards a record above. 500 and looks better than they have all year. Standing in their way tonight is southpaw Patrick Sandoval for LA. Sandoval has been very good overall this season with a 3.09 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, but, he got crushed last Saturday by the Astros for five runs in five innings; continuing his iffy season on the road. While his ERA at home is 2.84, on the road that figure jumps to 3.38 with an OBA of .248. Not bad, but iffy. He also has questionable career figures against the Orioles with a .633 OPS.
I think this game will be tight, don’t get me wrong. But isn't that exactly the spot to take an underdog?
Pick: Orioles +107 ML
Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE