MLB Underdog of the Day (We're Still Making José Berríos a Road Favorite?)

It's August 24, 2022, and sportsbooks are still making José Berríos a road favorite? In this economy!?

Welp, our bank accounts have WynnBET to thank for a true gift of a line in today's Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox matchup.

Berríos has the worst expected ERA of any qualified pitcher in MLB, bringing a 6.82 road ERA into this contest. He's been a disaster in every way, and I'm thrilled to fade him with today's MLB Underdog of the Day.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

• Blue Jays -1.5 (+100)
• Red Sox +1.5 (-120)

Moneyline:

• Blue Jays: -142
• Red Sox: +132

Total:

• 9.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

Best MLB Underdog Pick Today

In Berríos' last four road starts, he has an expected FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) above 7.40 twice. For reference, Marco Gonzales has MLB's worst expected FIP at 4.92. Thus, he's nearly twice as bad as MLB's worst starter.

In fact, he's horrendous, and we bettors should rejoice at the opportunity WynnBET gave us today. Just look at Berríos' MLB Statcast Pitching Profile and try to suppress your gleeful giggles:

Boston ranks 12th in OPS against right-handed pitchers this month and should take advantage of the many mistakes Berríos is bound to make. There's reason for optimism around the Red Sox as well though, as Brayan Bello returns to the rotation. He struggled early in the season, but a trip down to the minors may have done wonders for his confidence.

Bello had a 1.55 ERA in his last six minor league starts, striking out 37 batters over 29 innings. He's among Boston's top pitching prospects for a reason, and I expect the flame-throwing youngster to find success.

The Blue Jays are 4-8 in Berríos' last 12 starts as a road favorite. At +132 odds, we're getting tremendous value on fading one of MLB's worst pitchers. Let's take advantage.

PICK: Red Sox (+132)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.