The Philadelphia Phillies may have lost their most recent World Series game to the Houston Astros in Game 2, but they return home with a steal of home field advantage in a ballpark that's been awfully kind to them in the postseason.
Game 3 of the World Series from Philadelphia begins tonight on Halloween as both teams look to break through their 1-1 series tie.
While every game is crucially important, Game 3 victors in a best-of-seven MLB postseason series have gone on to win that series approximately 69% of the time.
Lance McCullers Jr. makes his third start of the postseason tonight for the Astros against Noah Syndergaard, likely serving as an "opener" with only 5.1 innings under his belt in the postseason; including one start vs. the Atlanta Braves in the NLDS.
From the 72 degrees and perfect on-field conditions in Houston with the roof closed, to a potentially rainy Citizens Bank Park in Philly, how might the weather impact how bettors should approach this game?
Let's take a look at the latest forecast, as well as the most up-to-date odds for Game 3:
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies Weather for World Series Game 3
FORECAST: 61 degrees and cloudy. Rain potentially in the forecast in the 25-30% range before it goes up to 60-65% with chances of thunderstorms in the 11 p.m. ET hour. Wind blowing straight out to center field at 2-3 mph.
How Will Weather Forecast Impact the Game 3 Matchup in the World Series?
Unlike in Houston where the Astros played just two games all year with the roof open, the weather conditions are the game conditions in Philadelphia. And with rain projected in the forecast, that could lead to a major advantage for Philadelphia.
Using Fangraphs' team splits tool, the Astros ranked 24th in baseball during the regular season in weighted-on-base-average (wOBA) when there was rain tracked, as well as the temperature ranging from 62 degrees Fahrenheit or less. In 60 plate appearances, Houston's wOBA was just .346, with the sixth-worst isolated power, or ISO in baseball.
Conversely, the Phillies handled slightly adverse weather conditions exceptionally well; ranking sixth in wOBA (.411), and only striking out in 19.6% of their at-bats.
The Phillies are slight underdogs at home in this game, but there may be sneaky value taking Philadelphia to win the series back at their original series price despite already having home field advantage in their back pocket.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.